OAKRaiders
2-8
17
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
60°F
7 mph
34
BALRavens
5-5
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
60°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
7
3
7
0
17
Ravens
3
4
7
8
22
Spread
-13
Total
OVER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
249
416
Total Plays
56
69
Yards / Play
4.4
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.21
+0.09
Passing Yards
182
174
Comp/Att
16/34(47%)
14/25(56%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
7.0
EPA / Pass
-0.11
-0.01
Rushing Yards
67
242
Rush Attempts
19
43
Yards / Rush
3.5
5.6
EPA / Rush
-0.08
+0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
23
Passing 1st downs
9
9
Rushing 1st downs
4
13
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
23%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-6.36
-6.31
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-12
-4
Sack EPA
-8.66
-1.42
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
24
45
Penalty EPA
-2.94
-4.40
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-11.5
Current
-13.0
Model
-13.0
Win Probability
Market84.9%
Model84.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+285
Home nfelo
1,566
Away nfelo
1,327
Home Field
+88.0
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+30.8
Net QB Adjustment
-42.1
Home QB Adjustment
-47.7
Away QB Adjustment
-5.6
Market Regression
+29.4
Final Difference
300.0
Model Spread
-13.0
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-5.6
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+5.8
Team Elo Adj
-47.7
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
2
Yards / Game
23
1
Passing Yards / Game
12
2
Rushing Yards / Game
25
3
EPA
EPA / Play
26
3
EPA / Pass
21
4
EPA / Rush
29
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
21
Interceptions / Game
8
22
Fumbles / Game
31
24
Turnover EPA / Game
5
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
3
4th Down Efficiency
28
10
RZ Efficiency
22
21
Ravens Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
32
Yards / Game
12
26
Passing Yards / Game
18
6
Rushing Yards / Game
2
30
EPA
EPA / Play
16
32
EPA / Pass
19
32
EPA / Rush
10
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
4
Interceptions / Game
6
14
Fumbles / Game
28
31
Turnover EPA / Game
15
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
30
4th Down Efficiency
7
28
RZ Efficiency
20
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Ravens
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U