LARRams
8-7
26
TBD
MetLife Stadium
41°F
10 mph
25
NYGGiants
5-10
TBD
MetLife Stadium
41°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
7
7
6
6
26
Giants
0
10
6
3
19
Spread
+6.5
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
391
389
Total Plays
61
68
Yards / Play
6.4
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.12
Passing Yards
286
284
Comp/Att
24/34(71%)
27/42(64%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
6.8
EPA / Pass
-0.09
-0.07
Rushing Yards
105
105
Rush Attempts
23
20
Yards / Rush
4.6
5.3
EPA / Rush
+0.18
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
17
Passing 1st downs
14
8
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
25%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
8
16
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-11.92
-2.19
Sacks
4
6
Sack Yards
-31
-35
Sack EPA
-5.20
-8.01
Penalties
3
7
Penalty Yards
--
65
Penalty EPA
--
-4.54
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model69.0%
Spread Pick
Giants+6.5
Expected Value
+1.4%
Cover Probability
53.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-107
Home nfelo
1,415
Away nfelo
1,546
Home Field
+70.5
Base HFA
+45.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+24.6
Net QB Adjustment
-45.9
Home QB Adjustment
-21.2
Away QB Adjustment
+24.8
Market Regression
-4.2
Final Difference
-139.1
Model Spread
+5.5
Quarterbacks
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+24.8
T. Taylor
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-21.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
26
Yards / Game
7
27
Passing Yards / Game
12
5
Rushing Yards / Game
12
29
EPA
EPA / Play
11
17
EPA / Pass
7
12
EPA / Rush
8
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
1
Interceptions / Game
18
3
Fumbles / Game
3
1
Turnover EPA / Game
23
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
10
4th Down Efficiency
5
20
RZ Efficiency
8
24
Giants Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
18
Yards / Game
29
18
Passing Yards / Game
29
29
Rushing Yards / Game
16
13
EPA
EPA / Play
30
21
EPA / Pass
29
19
EPA / Rush
29
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
26
Interceptions / Game
15
24
Fumbles / Game
6
30
Turnover EPA / Game
21
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
16
4th Down Efficiency
20
24
RZ Efficiency
31
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Giants
4-6
SU
6-3-1
ATS
4-6
O/U