LARRams
3-1
26
TBD
Lumen Field
56°F
8 mph
17
SEASeahawks
2-2
TBD
Lumen Field
56°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
3
13
10
26
Seahawks
0
7
0
10
17
Spread
-2.5
Total
UNDER
53.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
476
354
Total Plays
67
60
Yards / Play
7.1
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.19
+0.02
Passing Yards
358
262
Comp/Att
25/37(68%)
21/33(64%)
Yards / Pass
9.7
7.9
EPA / Pass
+0.38
+0.07
Rushing Yards
118
92
Rush Attempts
29
25
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.7
EPA / Rush
+0.00
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
22
Passing 1st downs
16
13
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
4
3rd Down %
20%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
10
10
Red Zone %
60%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.49
-6.65
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-7
-21
Sack EPA
-1.27
-4.53
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
85
--
Penalty EPA
-6.49
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-2.5
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model52.2%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+2.5
Expected Value
+2.1%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+13
Home nfelo
1,601
Away nfelo
1,599
Home Field
+23.0
Base HFA
+42.0
Divisional Adj
-18.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-12.7
Home QB Adjustment
+4.8
Away QB Adjustment
+17.5
Market Regression
-15.0
Final Difference
-15.0
Model Spread
+1.0
Quarterbacks
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+17.5
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+4.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
12
Yards / Game
7
28
Passing Yards / Game
1
32
Rushing Yards / Game
27
17
EPA
EPA / Play
9
17
EPA / Pass
2
24
EPA / Rush
31
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
7
Interceptions / Game
26
22
Fumbles / Game
11
18
Turnover EPA / Game
14
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
15
4th Down Efficiency
17
3
RZ Efficiency
17
3
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
9
Yards / Game
20
13
Passing Yards / Game
24
27
Rushing Yards / Game
10
5
EPA
EPA / Play
13
6
EPA / Pass
17
9
EPA / Rush
6
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
28
Interceptions / Game
2
5
Fumbles / Game
5
28
Turnover EPA / Game
31
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
7
4th Down Efficiency
32
14
RZ Efficiency
3
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Seahawks
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U