LARRams
2-12
0
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
36°F
4 mph
27
PITSteelers
10-4
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
36°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
0
0
0
0
Steelers
3
7
3
14
27
Spread
-10
Total
UNDER
33.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
232
377
Total Plays
63
50
Yards / Play
3.7
7.5
EPA / Play
-0.28
+0.21
Passing Yards
68
--
Comp/Att
9/24(38%)
15/22(68%)
Yards / Pass
2.8
--
EPA / Pass
-0.47
+0.17
Rushing Yards
164
169
Rush Attempts
36
28
Yards / Rush
4.6
6.0
EPA / Rush
+0.01
+0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
17
Passing 1st downs
4
9
Rushing 1st downs
9
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
38%
14%
3rd Down Conversions
6
1
3rd Down Attempts
16
7
Red Zone %
0%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.92
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-23
--
Sack EPA
-4.15
--
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
21
50
Penalty EPA
-2.98
-6.63
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-16.0
Current
-10.0
Model
-12.5
Win Probability
Market79.5%
Model84.2%
Spread Pick
Steelers-10.0
Expected Value
+9.9%
Cover Probability
54.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+335
Home nfelo
1,617
Away nfelo
1,315
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-62.4
Home QB Adjustment
-67.5
Away QB Adjustment
-5.1
Market Regression
-87.8
Final Difference
290.0
Model Spread
-12.5
Quarterbacks
K. Clemens
Proj. Value
-2.5
Team Elo Adj
-5.1
C. Batch
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-67.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
1
Yards / Game
31
1
Passing Yards / Game
21
3
Rushing Yards / Game
23
8
EPA
EPA / Play
32
9
EPA / Pass
31
7
EPA / Rush
32
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
8
Interceptions / Game
3
25
Fumbles / Game
27
30
Turnover EPA / Game
13
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
19
4th Down Efficiency
24
28
RZ Efficiency
31
15
Steelers Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
25
Yards / Game
11
21
Passing Yards / Game
4
14
Rushing Yards / Game
13
31
EPA
EPA / Play
7
16
EPA / Pass
8
20
EPA / Rush
7
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
1
Interceptions / Game
18
23
Fumbles / Game
26
29
Turnover EPA / Game
12
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
18
4th Down Efficiency
25
29
RZ Efficiency
15
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
2-8
SU
2-7-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Steelers
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U