BALRavens
-
24
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
09
NYJJets
-
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
3
7
14
0
24
Jets
0
3
0
6
9
Spread
-7
Total
UNDER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
274
380
Total Plays
53
79
Yards / Play
5.2
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.02
-0.24
Passing Yards
211
297
Comp/Att
17/30(57%)
37/59(63%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
5.0
EPA / Pass
+0.14
-0.20
Rushing Yards
63
83
Rush Attempts
21
17
Yards / Rush
3.0
4.9
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
24
Passing 1st downs
8
18
Rushing 1st downs
4
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
38%
14%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-2.00
-11.24
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-2
-12
Sack EPA
-1.72
-3.42
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
29
81
Penalty EPA
-6.63
-7.99
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market73.2%
Model67.0%
Spread Pick
Jets+7.0
Expected Value
+9.2%
Cover Probability
53.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-80
Home nfelo
1,398
Away nfelo
1,551
Home Field
+49.6
Base HFA
+36.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+12.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+23.5
Home QB Adjustment
+19.9
Away QB Adjustment
-3.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-122.8
Model Spread
+4.5
Quarterbacks
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+5.8
Team Elo Adj
-3.6
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+19.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
2
Yards / Game
16
4
Passing Yards / Game
28
14
Rushing Yards / Game
3
17
EPA
EPA / Play
12
4
EPA / Pass
21
5
EPA / Rush
5
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
13
Interceptions / Game
16
19
Fumbles / Game
18
31
Turnover EPA / Game
18
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
10
4th Down Efficiency
25
8
RZ Efficiency
30
3
Jets Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
3
Yards / Game
25
6
Passing Yards / Game
10
31
Rushing Yards / Game
25
3
EPA
EPA / Play
29
11
EPA / Pass
26
18
EPA / Rush
22
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
21
Interceptions / Game
17
16
Fumbles / Game
11
7
Turnover EPA / Game
11
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
4
4th Down Efficiency
26
28
RZ Efficiency
31
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Jets
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U