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  1. nfelo...
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  3. saints @ giants week 7, 1999

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

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Research and insights that power the nfelo model
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    Weekly confidence pool picks
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    +EV NFL Sides
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    Historic nfelo model performance

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    Team Power Ratings
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    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
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    Projected and realized opponent quality
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    Win total projections and results

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    QB Elo model adjusted for era

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NO logo
NOSaints
1-4
3
TBD
Giants Stadium
54°F
14 mph
31
NYGGiants
3-3
NYG logo
TBD
Giants Stadium
54°F
14 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
3
0
0
0
3
Giants
7
17
7
0
31

Game Statistics

General
Saints logo
Giants logo
Total Yards
270
321
Total Plays
63
69
Yards / Play
4.3
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.36
+0.06
Passing Yards
163
215
Comp/Att
14/35(40%)
19/29(66%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
7.4
EPA / Pass
-0.58
+0.38
Rushing Yards
107
106
Rush Attempts
27
37
Yards / Rush
4.0
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
Saints logo
Giants logo
1st Downs
12
19
Passing 1st downs
8
12
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
20%
59%
3rd Down Conversions
3
10
3rd Down Attempts
15
17
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Saints logo
Giants logo
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-12.26
-8.73
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-13
-24
Sack EPA
-2.89
-5.43
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
40
49
Penalty EPA
-2.81
-2.62

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
NO logo
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Saints Offense vs Giants Defense
Saints logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
28
22
Yards / Game
19
13
Passing Yards / Game
20
9
Rushing Yards / Game
17
11

EPA

EPA / Play
30
22
EPA / Pass
25
21
EPA / Rush
21
8

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
25
14
Interceptions / Game
30
15
Fumbles / Game
6
29
Turnover EPA / Game
1
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
25
11
4th Down Efficiency
19
8
RZ Efficiency
24
11
Giants Offense vs Saints Defense
Giants logo
Saints logo

Total

Points / Game
20
28
Yards / Game
17
19
Passing Yards / Game
6
18
Rushing Yards / Game
23
19

EPA

EPA / Play
18
27
EPA / Pass
18
20
EPA / Rush
27
28

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
4
16
Interceptions / Game
24
13
Fumbles / Game
13
10
Turnover EPA / Game
10
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
16
20
4th Down Efficiency
4
31
RZ Efficiency
15
28

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NO logo

Saints

1-4
SU
2-2-1
ATS
0-0-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/12
9
W
W
P
09/19
-7
L
W
P
10/03
-4
L
L
P
10/10
-3
L
L
P
10/17
-3
L
P
P
NYG logo

Giants

3-3
SU
3-3
ATS
0-0-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/12
4
W
W
P
09/19
-29
L
L
P
09/26
-2
L
W
P
10/03
1
W
L
P
10/10
-11
L
L
P
10/18
3
W
W
P