NOSaints
3-12
13
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
61°F
7 mph
45
CARPanthers
7-8
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
61°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
0
0
13
13
Panthers
10
7
14
14
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
335
355
Total Plays
77
61
Yards / Play
4.4
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.21
+0.26
Passing Yards
230
288
Comp/Att
26/50(52%)
22/41(54%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
7.0
EPA / Pass
-0.39
+0.17
Rushing Yards
105
67
Rush Attempts
25
14
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
18
Passing 1st downs
13
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
2
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
29%
15%
3rd Down Conversions
4
2
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
67%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
4
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-17.26
-4.18
Sacks
3
6
Sack Yards
-13
-34
Sack EPA
-2.67
-8.42
Penalties
6
8
Penalty Yards
54
75
Penalty EPA
-5.47
-7.09
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
26
Yards / Game
19
27
Passing Yards / Game
20
19
Rushing Yards / Game
17
25
EPA
EPA / Play
30
28
EPA / Pass
25
25
EPA / Rush
21
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
5
Interceptions / Game
30
19
Fumbles / Game
6
14
Turnover EPA / Game
1
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
30
4th Down Efficiency
19
27
RZ Efficiency
24
27
Panthers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
28
Yards / Game
6
19
Passing Yards / Game
1
18
Rushing Yards / Game
20
19
EPA
EPA / Play
4
27
EPA / Pass
3
20
EPA / Rush
20
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
16
Interceptions / Game
5
13
Fumbles / Game
31
10
Turnover EPA / Game
7
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
20
4th Down Efficiency
10
31
RZ Efficiency
5
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U