SEASeahawks
8-7
6
TBD
Soldier Field
47°F
5 mph
3
CHIBears
4-11
TBD
Soldier Field
47°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
3
0
0
6
Bears
0
3
0
0
3
Spread
+3.5
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
265
179
Total Plays
51
58
Yards / Play
5.2
3.1
EPA / Play
-0.13
-0.19
Passing Yards
143
76
Comp/Att
17/23(74%)
16/28(57%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
2.7
EPA / Pass
-0.37
-0.37
Rushing Yards
122
103
Rush Attempts
25
23
Yards / Rush
4.9
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.00
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
11
Passing 1st downs
7
7
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
38%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.59
-0.57
Sacks
3
7
Sack Yards
-17
-46
Sack EPA
-4.64
-8.47
Penalties
3
4
Penalty Yards
25
23
Penalty EPA
-2.31
-2.64
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model55.3%
Spread Pick
Bears+3.5
Expected Value
+13.1%
Cover Probability
59.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+8
Home nfelo
1,482
Away nfelo
1,518
Home Field
+38.7
Base HFA
+39.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.6
Time Adj
-14.0
Net QB Adjustment
+6.4
Home QB Adjustment
+3.1
Away QB Adjustment
-3.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-36.7
Model Spread
+2.0
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
-3.3
C. Williams
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
+3.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
14
Yards / Game
15
27
Passing Yards / Game
4
29
Rushing Yards / Game
28
27
EPA
EPA / Play
20
17
EPA / Pass
21
10
EPA / Rush
18
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
1
Interceptions / Game
26
18
Fumbles / Game
6
3
Turnover EPA / Game
10
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
12
4th Down Efficiency
21
5
RZ Efficiency
14
3
Bears Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
13
Yards / Game
32
13
Passing Yards / Game
20
9
Rushing Yards / Game
24
16
EPA
EPA / Play
27
10
EPA / Pass
26
8
EPA / Rush
20
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
5
Interceptions / Game
6
13
Fumbles / Game
13
19
Turnover EPA / Game
24
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
10
4th Down Efficiency
12
6
RZ Efficiency
9
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Bears
1-9
SU
3-6-1
ATS
4-6
O/U