nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ bears week 17, 2024

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

SEA logo
SEASeahawks
8-7
6
TBD
Soldier Field
47°F
5 mph
3
CHIBears
4-11
CHI logo
TBD
Soldier Field
47°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
3
0
0
6
Bears
0
3
0
0
3

Spread

CHI logo
+3.5

Total

UNDER
43.5

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Bears logo
Total Yards
265
179
Total Plays
51
58
Yards / Play
5.2
3.1
EPA / Play
-0.13
-0.19
Passing Yards
143
76
Comp/Att
17/23(74%)
16/28(57%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
2.7
EPA / Pass
-0.37
-0.37
Rushing Yards
122
103
Rush Attempts
25
23
Yards / Rush
4.9
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.00
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Bears logo
1st Downs
12
11
Passing 1st downs
7
7
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
38%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Bears logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.59
-0.57
Sacks
3
7
Sack Yards
-17
-46
Sack EPA
-4.64
-8.47
Penalties
3
4
Penalty Yards
25
23
Penalty EPA
-2.31
-2.64

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-2.0

Win Probability

Market62.9%
Model54.9%
Spread Pick
CHI logo
Bears+3.5
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+13.1%
Cover Probability
59.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+12
Home nfelo
1,481
Away nfelo
1,514
Home Field
+38.5
Base HFA
+38.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.6
Time Adj
-13.9
Net QB Adjustment
+6.4
Home QB Adjustment
+3.1
Away QB Adjustment
-3.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-34.3
Model Spread
+2.0

Quarterbacks

E. Smith headshot

E. Smith

Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-3.2
Value
Ptile
10/10
-1.4
38
10/20
1.1
57
10/27
-0.1
48
11/03
-5.0
16
11/17
1.1
56
11/24
-4.5
19
12/01
-0.6
45
12/08
3.7
73
12/15
-5.9
12
12/22
3.7
74
C. Williams headshot

C. Williams

Proj. Value
+0.8
Team Elo Adj
+3.1
Value
Ptile
10/13
5.5
81
10/27
-6.6
10
11/03
-9.5
3
11/10
-12.5
0
11/17
3.1
70
11/24
6.5
87
11/28
0.4
51
12/08
-3.2
26
12/16
-2.5
31
12/22
6.0
84

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Bears Defense
Seahawks logo
Bears logo

Total

Points / Game
17
14
Yards / Game
15
27
Passing Yards / Game
4
29
Rushing Yards / Game
28
27

EPA

EPA / Play
20
17
EPA / Pass
21
10
EPA / Rush
18
23

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
1
Interceptions / Game
26
18
Fumbles / Game
6
3
Turnover EPA / Game
10
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
12
4th Down Efficiency
21
5
RZ Efficiency
14
3
Bears Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Bears logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
28
13
Yards / Game
32
13
Passing Yards / Game
20
9
Rushing Yards / Game
24
16

EPA

EPA / Play
27
10
EPA / Pass
26
8
EPA / Rush
20
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
15
5
Interceptions / Game
6
13
Fumbles / Game
13
19
Turnover EPA / Game
24
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
31
10
4th Down Efficiency
12
6
RZ Efficiency
9
8

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/10
-12
L
L
O
10/20
20
W
W
U
10/27
-21
L
L
U
11/03
-6
L
L
U
11/17
3
W
W
U
11/24
10
W
W
U
12/01
5
W
W
O
12/08
12
W
W
O
12/15
-17
L
L
U
12/22
-3
L
L
O
CHI logo

Bears

1-9
SU
3-6-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/13
19
W
W
O
10/27
-3
L
L
U
11/03
-20
L
L
U
11/10
-16
L
L
U
11/17
-1
L
W
U
11/24
-3
L
P
O
11/28
-3
L
W
U
12/08
-25
L
L
O
12/16
-18
L
L
U
12/22
-17
L
L
O