nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ commanders week 15, 2020

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

SEA logo
SEASeahawks
9-4
20
TBD
FedExField
43°F
8 mph
15
WASCommanders
6-7
WAS logo
TBD
FedExField
43°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
10
7
0
20
Commanders
0
3
0
12
15

Spread

WAS logo
+6

Total

UNDER
44.5

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Commanders logo
Total Yards
302
353
Total Plays
53
80
Yards / Play
5.7
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.15
-0.02
Passing Yards
--
269
Comp/Att
18/27(67%)
38/55(69%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.9
EPA / Pass
-0.21
-0.00
Rushing Yards
181
84
Rush Attempts
26
21
Yards / Rush
7.0
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.37
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Commanders logo
1st Downs
16
26
Passing 1st downs
6
16
Rushing 1st downs
9
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
42%
59%
3rd Down Conversions
5
10
3rd Down Attempts
12
17
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Commanders logo
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.20
-8.35
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-26
Sack EPA
--
-5.55
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
45
41
Penalty EPA
-7.49
-5.15

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-6.0

Win Probability

Market69.8%
Model69.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-164
Home nfelo
1,445
Away nfelo
1,613
Home Field
+11.8
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
+3.4
Net QB Adjustment
-7.4
Home QB Adjustment
-5.7
Away QB Adjustment
+1.7
Market Regression
-15.5
Final Difference
-145.5
Model Spread
+6.0

Quarterbacks

R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+1.7
Value
Ptile
10/04
2.1
59
10/11
2.2
61
10/25
6.8
87
11/01
7.8
91
11/08
1.9
58
11/15
-5.8
12
11/19
1.8
57
11/30
0.4
49
12/06
-2.1
28
12/13
1.7
55
D. Haskins headshot

D. Haskins

Proj. Value
-3.7
Team Elo Adj
-5.7
Value
Ptile
11/17
-8.7
7
11/24
-6.3
15
12/01
-8.9
6
12/08
-6.9
13
12/15
5.0
83
12/22
-1.1
46
09/13
-3.4
22
09/20
-4.6
17
09/27
-7.8
6
10/04
3.5
70

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Commanders Defense
Seahawks logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
7
5
Yards / Game
18
5
Passing Yards / Game
7
6
Rushing Yards / Game
12
15

EPA

EPA / Play
6
7
EPA / Pass
12
4
EPA / Rush
7
9

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
26
5
Interceptions / Game
22
7
Fumbles / Game
2
4
Turnover EPA / Game
14
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
7
4th Down Efficiency
18
2
RZ Efficiency
3
2
Commanders Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Commanders logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
25
16
Yards / Game
29
22
Passing Yards / Game
11
31
Rushing Yards / Game
26
5

EPA

EPA / Play
27
14
EPA / Pass
29
22
EPA / Rush
11
7

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
4
Interceptions / Game
27
14
Fumbles / Game
17
17
Turnover EPA / Game
10
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
26
4th Down Efficiency
21
4
RZ Efficiency
15
18

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/04
8
W
W
U
10/11
1
W
L
U
10/25
-3
L
L
O
11/01
10
W
W
O
11/08
-10
L
L
O
11/15
-7
L
L
U
11/19
7
W
W
U
11/30
6
W
L
U
12/06
-5
L
L
U
12/13
37
W
W
U
WAS logo

Commanders

5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/04
-14
L
W
O
10/11
-20
L
L
U
10/18
-1
L
W
U
10/25
22
W
W
U
11/08
-3
L
L
P
11/15
-3
L
L
O
11/22
11
W
W
U
11/26
25
W
W
O
12/07
6
W
W
U
12/13
8
W
W
U