SEASeahawks
9-4
20
TBD
FedExField
43°F
8 mph
15
WASCommanders
6-7
TBD
FedExField
43°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
10
7
0
20
Commanders
0
3
0
12
15
Spread
+6
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
302
353
Total Plays
53
80
Yards / Play
5.7
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.15
-0.02
Passing Yards
--
269
Comp/Att
18/27(67%)
38/55(69%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.9
EPA / Pass
-0.21
-0.00
Rushing Yards
181
84
Rush Attempts
26
21
Yards / Rush
7.0
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.37
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
26
Passing 1st downs
6
16
Rushing 1st downs
9
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
42%
59%
3rd Down Conversions
5
10
3rd Down Attempts
12
17
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.20
-8.35
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-26
Sack EPA
--
-5.55
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
45
41
Penalty EPA
-7.49
-5.15
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market69.8%
Model69.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-163
Home nfelo
1,446
Away nfelo
1,613
Home Field
+11.8
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
+3.4
Net QB Adjustment
-7.4
Home QB Adjustment
-5.7
Away QB Adjustment
+1.7
Market Regression
-15.7
Final Difference
-145.5
Model Spread
+6.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+1.7
D. Haskins
Proj. Value
-3.7
Team Elo Adj
-5.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
5
Yards / Game
18
5
Passing Yards / Game
7
6
Rushing Yards / Game
12
15
EPA
EPA / Play
6
7
EPA / Pass
12
4
EPA / Rush
7
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
5
Interceptions / Game
22
7
Fumbles / Game
2
4
Turnover EPA / Game
14
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
7
4th Down Efficiency
18
2
RZ Efficiency
3
2
Commanders Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
16
Yards / Game
29
22
Passing Yards / Game
11
31
Rushing Yards / Game
26
5
EPA
EPA / Play
27
14
EPA / Pass
29
22
EPA / Rush
11
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
4
Interceptions / Game
27
14
Fumbles / Game
17
17
Turnover EPA / Game
10
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
26
4th Down Efficiency
21
4
RZ Efficiency
15
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
Commanders
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
3-6-1
O/U