SEASeahawks
8-2
17
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
40°F
17 mph
9
PHIEagles
5-5
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
40°F
17 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
3
0
7
17
Eagles
3
0
0
6
9
Spread
-1.5
Total
UNDER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
348
344
Total Plays
57
72
Yards / Play
6.1
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.18
-0.30
Passing Yards
174
238
Comp/Att
13/25(52%)
33/45(73%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
5.3
EPA / Pass
-0.15
-0.33
Rushing Yards
174
106
Rush Attempts
26
24
Yards / Rush
6.7
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
23
Passing 1st downs
8
16
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
36%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
5
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
3
Turnover EPA
-7.55
-24.03
Sacks
6
3
Sack Yards
-26
-18
Sack EPA
-8.01
-7.99
Penalties
12
2
Penalty Yards
90
15
Penalty EPA
-8.84
-3.10
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
+3.0
Current
-1.5
Model
+1.0
Win Probability
Market53.6%
Model48.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+45
Home nfelo
1,555
Away nfelo
1,539
Home Field
+54.5
Base HFA
+49.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-38.3
Surface Adj
+17.2
Time Adj
+26.4
Net QB Adjustment
-25.5
Home QB Adjustment
-5.7
Away QB Adjustment
+19.8
Market Regression
-52.2
Final Difference
13.2
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+19.8
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-5.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
15
Yards / Game
6
10
Passing Yards / Game
10
28
Rushing Yards / Game
6
3
EPA
EPA / Play
9
14
EPA / Pass
7
20
EPA / Rush
19
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
16
Interceptions / Game
1
24
Fumbles / Game
31
9
Turnover EPA / Game
20
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
5
4th Down Efficiency
10
27
RZ Efficiency
7
14
Eagles Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
19
Yards / Game
13
23
Passing Yards / Game
8
7
Rushing Yards / Game
11
22
EPA
EPA / Play
12
19
EPA / Pass
17
18
EPA / Rush
15
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
9
Interceptions / Game
5
9
Fumbles / Game
28
4
Turnover EPA / Game
19
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
18
4th Down Efficiency
30
20
RZ Efficiency
8
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Eagles
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U