SEASeahawks
11-5
17
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
41°F
17 mph
9
PHIEagles
9-7
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
41°F
17 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
7
7
0
17
Eagles
0
3
6
0
9
Spread
+0
Total
UNDER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
382
282
Total Plays
57
61
Yards / Play
6.7
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.11
-0.07
Passing Yards
318
162
Comp/Att
18/30(60%)
19/28(68%)
Yards / Pass
10.6
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.49
-0.34
Rushing Yards
64
120
Rush Attempts
26
26
Yards / Rush
2.5
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
20
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
53%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
11
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
7
Sack Yards
-7
-15
Sack EPA
-2.24
-8.55
Penalties
11
7
Penalty Yards
114
45
Penalty EPA
-11.80
-4.66
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
N/A
Model
+2.0
Win Probability
Market50.0%
Model46.3%
Spread Pick
EaglesN/A
Expected Value
+0.8%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+55
Home nfelo
1,531
Away nfelo
1,543
Home Field
+45.4
Base HFA
+45.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.0
Time Adj
-16.4
Net QB Adjustment
+16.4
Home QB Adjustment
+8.1
Away QB Adjustment
-8.3
Market Regression
+2.7
Final Difference
26.0
Model Spread
-2.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+1.1
Team Elo Adj
-8.3
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
+8.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
15
Yards / Game
6
10
Passing Yards / Game
10
28
Rushing Yards / Game
6
3
EPA
EPA / Play
9
14
EPA / Pass
7
20
EPA / Rush
19
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
16
Interceptions / Game
1
24
Fumbles / Game
31
9
Turnover EPA / Game
20
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
5
4th Down Efficiency
10
27
RZ Efficiency
7
14
Eagles Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
19
Yards / Game
13
23
Passing Yards / Game
8
7
Rushing Yards / Game
11
22
EPA
EPA / Play
12
19
EPA / Pass
17
18
EPA / Rush
16
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
9
Interceptions / Game
5
9
Fumbles / Game
28
4
Turnover EPA / Game
19
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
18
4th Down Efficiency
30
20
RZ Efficiency
8
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Eagles
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U