SEASeahawks
1-2
48
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
045
DETLions
1-2
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
14
10
8
10
42
Lions
6
9
8
22
45
Spread
+3.5
Total
OVER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
555
524
Total Plays
63
68
Yards / Play
8.8
7.7
EPA / Play
+0.46
+0.28
Passing Yards
--
377
Comp/Att
23/30(77%)
27/41(66%)
Yards / Pass
--
9.2
EPA / Pass
+0.70
+0.30
Rushing Yards
235
147
Rush Attempts
33
26
Yards / Rush
7.1
5.7
EPA / Rush
+0.40
+0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
27
Passing 1st downs
14
19
Rushing 1st downs
12
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
75%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
9
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
10
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
4
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-7.72
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-9
Sack EPA
--
-2.10
Penalties
11
8
Penalty Yards
76
59
Penalty EPA
-9.27
-6.85
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+74
Home nfelo
1,430
Away nfelo
1,421
Home Field
+59.0
Base HFA
+38.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+20.6
Net QB Adjustment
+6.0
Home QB Adjustment
+3.5
Away QB Adjustment
-2.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
-0.5
Team Elo Adj
-2.5
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.3
Team Elo Adj
+3.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
28
Yards / Game
13
32
Passing Yards / Game
8
22
Rushing Yards / Game
18
29
EPA
EPA / Play
10
30
EPA / Pass
15
24
EPA / Rush
16
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
31
Interceptions / Game
12
19
Fumbles / Game
27
14
Turnover EPA / Game
6
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
30
4th Down Efficiency
6
21
RZ Efficiency
27
26
Lions Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
25
Yards / Game
4
28
Passing Yards / Game
17
23
Rushing Yards / Game
11
30
EPA
EPA / Play
4
29
EPA / Pass
3
25
EPA / Rush
25
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
9
Interceptions / Game
2
16
Fumbles / Game
11
7
Turnover EPA / Game
30
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
27
4th Down Efficiency
10
3
RZ Efficiency
4
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Lions
4-6
SU
7-2-1
ATS
6-3-1
O/U