SEASeahawks
2-3
27
TBD
Wembley Stadium
52°F
10 mph
3
OAKRaiders
1-4
TBD
Wembley Stadium
52°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
10
3
7
27
Raiders
0
0
0
3
3
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
369
185
Total Plays
61
56
Yards / Play
6.0
3.3
EPA / Play
+0.14
-0.33
Passing Yards
214
106
Comp/Att
17/23(74%)
23/31(74%)
Yards / Pass
9.3
3.4
EPA / Pass
+0.52
-0.45
Rushing Yards
155
79
Rush Attempts
37
19
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.03
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
15
Passing 1st downs
11
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
69%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
9
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
60%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-5.54
-8.08
Sacks
1
6
Sack Yards
-8
-36
Sack EPA
-1.08
-13.34
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
64
38
Penalty EPA
-8.57
-4.89
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-65
Home nfelo
1,400
Away nfelo
1,499
Home Field
+19.9
Base HFA
--
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.9
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+14.8
Home QB Adjustment
+7.3
Away QB Adjustment
-7.6
Market Regression
-22.1
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-7.6
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+7.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
32
Yards / Game
18
26
Passing Yards / Game
19
6
Rushing Yards / Game
1
30
EPA
EPA / Play
6
32
EPA / Pass
8
32
EPA / Rush
5
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
4
Interceptions / Game
2
14
Fumbles / Game
2
31
Turnover EPA / Game
31
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
30
4th Down Efficiency
3
28
RZ Efficiency
6
18
Raiders Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
13
Yards / Game
23
19
Passing Yards / Game
12
24
Rushing Yards / Game
25
18
EPA
EPA / Play
26
19
EPA / Pass
21
11
EPA / Rush
29
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
8
Interceptions / Game
8
19
Fumbles / Game
31
3
Turnover EPA / Game
5
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
5
4th Down Efficiency
28
5
RZ Efficiency
22
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Raiders
2-8
SU
3-6-1
ATS
2-8
O/U