SEASeahawks
1-1
17
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
030
MINVikings
0-2
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
10
7
0
0
17
Vikings
7
14
3
6
30
Spread
+2
Total
UNDER
53.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
389
453
Total Plays
52
73
Yards / Play
7.5
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.08
+0.24
Passing Yards
283
313
Comp/Att
23/32(72%)
30/38(79%)
Yards / Pass
8.8
8.2
EPA / Pass
+0.02
+0.51
Rushing Yards
106
140
Rush Attempts
18
34
Yards / Rush
5.9
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.24
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
28
Passing 1st downs
14
20
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
38%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
3
9
3rd Down Attempts
8
14
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-15
-10
Sack EPA
-3.12
-1.80
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
35
40
Penalty EPA
-6.23
-3.12
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-2.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market54.7%
Model54.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-51
Home nfelo
1,510
Away nfelo
1,609
Home Field
+35.5
Base HFA
+43.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-7.7
Net QB Adjustment
+12.4
Home QB Adjustment
+17.4
Away QB Adjustment
+5.0
Market Regression
-16.8
Final Difference
-32.8
Model Spread
+2.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+5.0
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+17.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
24
Yards / Game
20
30
Passing Yards / Game
24
24
Rushing Yards / Game
10
26
EPA
EPA / Play
13
15
EPA / Pass
17
6
EPA / Rush
6
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
29
Interceptions / Game
2
12
Fumbles / Game
5
18
Turnover EPA / Game
31
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
4
4th Down Efficiency
32
11
RZ Efficiency
3
15
Vikings Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
12
Yards / Game
10
28
Passing Yards / Game
15
32
Rushing Yards / Game
17
17
EPA
EPA / Play
18
17
EPA / Pass
12
24
EPA / Rush
26
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
7
Interceptions / Game
2
22
Fumbles / Game
7
18
Turnover EPA / Game
30
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
15
4th Down Efficiency
15
3
RZ Efficiency
10
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
Vikings
4-6
SU
2-8
ATS
7-2-1
O/U