PITSteelers
14-1
29
TBD
New Era Field
52°F
17 mph
24
BUFBills
9-6
TBD
New Era Field
52°F
17 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
10
6
0
7
23
Bills
7
3
1
7
18
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
262
267
Total Plays
70
54
Yards / Play
3.7
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.22
Passing Yards
105
171
Comp/Att
12/25(48%)
16/30(53%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
5.7
EPA / Pass
-0.56
-0.39
Rushing Yards
157
96
Rush Attempts
43
21
Yards / Rush
3.7
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.04
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
16
Passing 1st downs
5
6
Rushing 1st downs
8
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
42%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
8
2
3rd Down Attempts
19
12
Red Zone %
17%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-9.50
-11.65
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-15
-18
Sack EPA
-3.88
-10.29
Penalties
7
12
Penalty Yards
40
108
Penalty EPA
-4.90
-13.92
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
8
Yards / Game
13
2
Passing Yards / Game
26
5
Rushing Yards / Game
2
6
EPA
EPA / Play
12
1
EPA / Pass
12
2
EPA / Rush
14
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
13
Interceptions / Game
14
2
Fumbles / Game
9
3
Turnover EPA / Game
18
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
13
4th Down Efficiency
8
30
RZ Efficiency
25
4
Bills Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
6
Yards / Game
25
1
Passing Yards / Game
23
6
Rushing Yards / Game
12
2
EPA
EPA / Play
20
5
EPA / Pass
20
3
EPA / Rush
25
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
21
Interceptions / Game
17
12
Fumbles / Game
18
18
Turnover EPA / Game
14
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
5
4th Down Efficiency
19
22
RZ Efficiency
28
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
10-0
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U