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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. titans @ 49ers week 15, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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TEN logo
TENTitans
2-11
24
TBD
Levi's Stadium
54°F
4 mph
37
SF49ers
9-4
SF logo
TBD
Levi's Stadium
54°F
4 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
3
7
0
14
24
49ers
7
10
14
6
37

Spread

SF logo
-12.5

Total

OVER
44.5

Game Statistics

General
Titans logo
49ers logo
Total Yards
306
430
Total Plays
49
70
Yards / Play
6.2
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.34
Passing Yards
--
292
Comp/Att
18/29(62%)
23/30(77%)
Yards / Pass
--
9.7
EPA / Pass
+0.06
+0.59
Rushing Yards
136
138
Rush Attempts
20
38
Yards / Rush
6.8
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.48
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
Titans logo
49ers logo
1st Downs
18
28
Passing 1st downs
8
18
Rushing 1st downs
9
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
33%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
3
9
3rd Down Attempts
9
15
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Titans logo
49ers logo
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.08
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-3
Sack EPA
--
-5.28
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
57
30
Penalty EPA
-9.64
-4.77

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SF logo
SF49ersFavored
Opening
-12.5
Current
-12.5
Model
-12.5

Win Probability

Market84.1%
Model84.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+324
Home nfelo
1,568
Away nfelo
1,318
Home Field
+65.1
Base HFA
+44.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+12.8
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+8.0
Net QB Adjustment
+9.5
Home QB Adjustment
-2.2
Away QB Adjustment
-11.7
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
289.4
Model Spread
-12.5

Quarterbacks

C. Ward headshot

C. Ward

Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-11.7
Value
Ptile
09/28
-7.8
6
10/05
-6.6
9
10/12
-6.4
10
10/19
-2.3
35
10/26
-5.2
16
11/02
-6.4
11
11/16
1.9
63
11/23
3.8
76
11/30
-5.9
13
12/07
-3.0
29
B. Purdy headshot

B. Purdy

Proj. Value
+2.8
Team Elo Adj
-2.2
Value
Ptile
12/01
-4.7
18
12/08
7.0
90
12/12
-10.5
2
12/22
2.6
66
12/30
7.0
90
09/07
2.3
66
09/28
-0.3
47
11/16
2.8
71
11/24
-3.8
25
11/30
2.5
68

Team Matchup Ranks

Titans Offense vs 49ers Defense
Titans logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
30
13
Yards / Game
31
19
Passing Yards / Game
25
4
Rushing Yards / Game
28
6

EPA

EPA / Play
30
18
EPA / Pass
30
24
EPA / Rush
28
22

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
28
Interceptions / Game
3
29
Fumbles / Game
32
7
Turnover EPA / Game
17
13

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
15
4th Down Efficiency
25
20
RZ Efficiency
20
15
49ers Offense vs Titans Defense
49ers logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
8
28
Yards / Game
7
22
Passing Yards / Game
4
28
Rushing Yards / Game
22
17

EPA

EPA / Play
5
24
EPA / Pass
4
28
EPA / Rush
22
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
1
5
Interceptions / Game
26
29
Fumbles / Game
15
19
Turnover EPA / Game
12
7

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
1
14
4th Down Efficiency
7
30
RZ Efficiency
2
26

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TEN logo

Titans

2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/28
-26
L
L
U
10/05
1
W
W
O
10/12
-10
L
L
U
10/19
-18
L
L
O
10/26
-24
L
L
O
11/02
-7
L
W
O
11/16
-3
L
W
U
11/23
-6
L
W
O
11/30
-22
L
L
U
12/07
2
W
W
O
SF logo

49ers

6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/28
-5
L
L
O
10/02
3
W
W
O
10/12
-11
L
L
O
10/19
10
W
W
U
10/26
-11
L
L
U
11/02
10
W
W
O
11/09
-16
L
L
O
11/16
19
W
W
O
11/24
11
W
W
U
11/30
18
W
W
U