TENTitans
3-3
19
TBD
Wembley Stadium
66°F
6 mph
20
LACChargers
4-2
TBD
Wembley Stadium
66°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
3
3
7
6
19
Chargers
10
0
7
3
20
Spread
+6.5
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
390
344
Total Plays
68
44
Yards / Play
5.7
7.8
EPA / Play
+0.15
+0.28
Passing Yards
226
297
Comp/Att
24/33(73%)
19/26(73%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
11.4
EPA / Pass
+0.29
+0.61
Rushing Yards
164
47
Rush Attempts
33
16
Yards / Rush
5.0
2.9
EPA / Rush
+0.04
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
14
Passing 1st downs
16
12
Rushing 1st downs
7
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
60%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
9
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
9
Red Zone %
40%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.73
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-11
-9
Sack EPA
-3.31
-3.13
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
--
31
Penalty EPA
--
-4.76
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model71.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+169
Home nfelo
1,585
Away nfelo
1,462
Home Field
+20.6
Base HFA
--
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+20.6
Net QB Adjustment
+25.1
Home QB Adjustment
+14.8
Away QB Adjustment
-10.3
Market Regression
-15.5
Final Difference
155.5
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
M. Mariota
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-10.3
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+14.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Titans Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
11
Yards / Game
25
10
Passing Yards / Game
27
8
Rushing Yards / Game
6
10
EPA
EPA / Play
20
9
EPA / Pass
24
8
EPA / Rush
16
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
25
Interceptions / Game
14
18
Fumbles / Game
3
7
Turnover EPA / Game
18
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
19
4th Down Efficiency
15
23
RZ Efficiency
23
9
Chargers Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
3
Yards / Game
13
7
Passing Yards / Game
5
7
Rushing Yards / Game
18
19
EPA
EPA / Play
7
13
EPA / Pass
3
14
EPA / Rush
9
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
10
Interceptions / Game
11
23
Fumbles / Game
7
19
Turnover EPA / Game
26
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
10
4th Down Efficiency
1
15
RZ Efficiency
9
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Titans
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U
Chargers
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U