MINVikings
-
27
TBD
Soldier Field
68°F
6 mph
24
CHIBears
-
TBD
Soldier Field
68°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
0
6
0
21
27
Bears
7
3
1
7
18
Spread
+1
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
256
317
Total Plays
51
63
Yards / Play
5.0
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.09
-0.16
Passing Yards
136
198
Comp/Att
13/22(59%)
21/35(60%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
5.7
EPA / Pass
-0.45
-0.20
Rushing Yards
120
119
Rush Attempts
26
26
Yards / Rush
4.6
4.6
EPA / Rush
+0.03
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
20
Passing 1st downs
5
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
25%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-9.66
+0.05
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-9
-12
Sack EPA
-5.10
-2.32
Penalties
8
12
Penalty Yards
50
127
Penalty EPA
-7.04
-12.00
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
+1.5
Current
-1.0
Model
-0.5
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model51.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-17
Home nfelo
1,476
Away nfelo
1,534
Home Field
+34.5
Base HFA
+38.4
Divisional Adj
-17.3
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.4
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+7.0
Home QB Adjustment
-1.0
Away QB Adjustment
-7.9
Market Regression
+33.8
Final Difference
8.8
Model Spread
-0.5
Quarterbacks
J. McCarthy
Proj. Value
-2.0
Team Elo Adj
-7.9
No recent game data available
C. Williams
Proj. Value
-0.2
Team Elo Adj
-1.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
25
Yards / Game
23
27
Passing Yards / Game
15
2
Rushing Yards / Game
20
32
EPA
EPA / Play
26
20
EPA / Pass
29
17
EPA / Rush
16
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
21
Interceptions / Game
28
2
Fumbles / Game
7
9
Turnover EPA / Game
6
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
1
4th Down Efficiency
10
18
RZ Efficiency
16
22
Bears Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
9
Yards / Game
19
7
Passing Yards / Game
25
8
Rushing Yards / Game
24
24
EPA
EPA / Play
24
2
EPA / Pass
13
1
EPA / Rush
30
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
1
Interceptions / Game
9
17
Fumbles / Game
18
1
Turnover EPA / Game
19
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
6
4th Down Efficiency
25
1
RZ Efficiency
15
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
8-2
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Bears
1-9
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-6
O/U