MINVikings
2-2
20
TBD
Soldier Field
70°F
10 mph
17
CHIBears
1-3
TBD
Soldier Field
70°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
0
3
14
3
20
Bears
0
0
7
8
15
Spread
+3.5
Total
UNDER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
300
276
Total Plays
67
57
Yards / Play
4.5
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.17
Passing Yards
141
159
Comp/Att
22/32(69%)
13/26(50%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
6.1
EPA / Pass
-0.11
-0.30
Rushing Yards
159
117
Rush Attempts
31
30
Yards / Rush
5.1
3.9
EPA / Rush
+0.05
+0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
16
Passing 1st downs
10
7
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
40%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
33%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-9.29
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-35
-7
Sack EPA
-5.22
-5.54
Penalties
9
8
Penalty Yards
69
55
Penalty EPA
-9.21
-5.92
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model62.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-48
Home nfelo
1,415
Away nfelo
1,511
Home Field
+51.5
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
-25.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-3.1
Home QB Adjustment
+19.5
Away QB Adjustment
+22.5
Market Regression
-73.4
Final Difference
-91.7
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+22.5
M. Trubisky
Proj. Value
-0.5
Team Elo Adj
+19.5
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
8
Yards / Game
10
7
Passing Yards / Game
26
21
Rushing Yards / Game
8
10
EPA
EPA / Play
11
11
EPA / Pass
9
13
EPA / Rush
26
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
16
Interceptions / Game
6
29
Fumbles / Game
11
1
Turnover EPA / Game
23
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
20
4th Down Efficiency
31
22
RZ Efficiency
12
10
Bears Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
2
Yards / Game
30
2
Passing Yards / Game
24
17
Rushing Yards / Game
16
2
EPA
EPA / Play
27
3
EPA / Pass
28
4
EPA / Rush
17
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
26
Interceptions / Game
13
13
Fumbles / Game
25
32
Turnover EPA / Game
15
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
1
4th Down Efficiency
23
12
RZ Efficiency
5
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Bears
2-8
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U