MINVikings
2-3
34
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
62°F
7 mph
28
CARPanthers
3-2
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
62°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Vikings
6
6
13
3
6
34
Panthers
7
3
1
11
0
22
Spread
-2
Total
OVER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
571
308
Total Plays
86
69
Yards / Play
6.6
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.19
Passing Yards
--
190
Comp/Att
33/49(67%)
17/42(40%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.5
EPA / Pass
+0.17
-0.52
Rushing Yards
198
118
Rush Attempts
37
23
Yards / Rush
5.4
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.04
+0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
20
Passing 1st downs
16
8
Rushing 1st downs
10
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
4
3rd Down %
44%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
16
12
Red Zone %
60%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-5.86
-15.82
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-19
Sack EPA
--
-9.64
Penalties
11
6
Penalty Yards
98
28
Penalty EPA
-10.25
-3.34
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
+1.5
Current
-2.0
Model
+0.5
Win Probability
Market54.7%
Model48.6%
Spread Pick
Panthers+2.0
Expected Value
+0.1%
Cover Probability
50.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+44
Home nfelo
1,493
Away nfelo
1,496
Home Field
+63.4
Base HFA
+41.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.5
Time Adj
+7.4
Net QB Adjustment
-15.4
Home QB Adjustment
-8.3
Away QB Adjustment
+7.1
Market Regression
-12.3
Final Difference
9.9
Model Spread
-0.5
Quarterbacks
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+7.1
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
-0.6
Team Elo Adj
-8.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
20
Yards / Game
10
2
Passing Yards / Game
15
1
Rushing Yards / Game
17
18
EPA
EPA / Play
18
7
EPA / Pass
12
12
EPA / Rush
26
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
5
Interceptions / Game
2
27
Fumbles / Game
7
18
Turnover EPA / Game
30
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
8
4th Down Efficiency
15
18
RZ Efficiency
10
31
Panthers Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
24
Yards / Game
30
30
Passing Yards / Game
29
24
Rushing Yards / Game
20
26
EPA
EPA / Play
32
15
EPA / Pass
32
6
EPA / Rush
17
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
29
Interceptions / Game
32
12
Fumbles / Game
13
18
Turnover EPA / Game
1
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
4
4th Down Efficiency
31
11
RZ Efficiency
25
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
4-6
SU
2-8
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Panthers
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U