nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. teams...
  3. buf...
  4. 2020
BUF logo

Buffalo Bills

2020 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

Season Overview

Record
15-4
nfelo Rating
17024th
Point Diff / Game
+6.85th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1265th

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
27-17
+10
-6
W
40
2
MIA logo
MIA@
W
31-28
+3
-5.5
L
6
3
LAR logo
LAR
W
35-32
+3
-2
W
30
4
OAK logo
OAK@
W
30-23
+7
-3
W
9
5
TEN logo
TEN@
L
16-42
-26
-1
L
-17
6
KC logo
KC
L
17-26
-9
+5.5
L
-10
7
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
18-10
+8
-9.5
L
-2
8
NE logo
NE
W
24-21
+3
-4.5
L
7
9
SEA logo
SEA
W
44-34
+10
+3
W
15
10
ARI logo
ARI@
L
30-32
-2
+3
W
-9
11BYE WEEK
12
LAC logo
LAC
W
27-17
+10
-4.5
W
5
13
SF logo
SF@
W
34-24
+10
+1.5
W
20
14
PIT logo
PIT
W
26-15
+11
-2
W
33
15
DEN logo
DEN@
W
48-19
+29
-6
W
24
16
NE logo
NE@
W
38-09
+29
-7
W
35
17
MIA logo
MIA
W
56-26
+30
+3
W
6
18
IND logo
IND
W
27-24
+3
-7
L
2
19
BAL logo
BAL
W
17-03
+14
-2.5
W
25
20
KC logo
KC@
L
24-38
-14
+3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.15
4th
EPA / Pass
+0.23
3rd
EPA / Rush
-0.04
16th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.03
16th
EPA / Pass
+0.03
13th
EPA / Rush
+0.02
24th
Sack EPA
-3.17
9th
Turnover EPA
-4.69
24th
Point Differential
+6.8
5th
Points For
29.9
3rd
Points Against
23.2
14th
Total Yards
385.4
5th
Passing Yards
241.1
6th
Rushing Yards
104.2
24th
Total Yards Allowed
363.3
18th
Passing Allowed
196.8
13th
Rushing Allowed
123.2
20th

Conversions For

3rd Down
47%
4th
4th Down
83%
1st
Red Zone
61%
12th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
42%
19th
4th Down
54%
16th
Red Zone
62%
17th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
14th
Created
1.5
6th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
9th
Created
0.8
12th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
22nd
Created
0.6
5th