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  4. 2017
CAR logo

Carolina Panthers

2017 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-6
nfelo Rating
153212th
Point Diff / Game
+1.814th
Net EPA / Play
+0.04012th

2017 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
SF logo
SF@
W
23-03
+20
-5
W
26
2
BUF logo
BUF
W
09-03
+6
-6.5
L
1
3
NO logo
NO
L
13-34
-21
-5.5
L
-22
4
NE logo
NE@
W
33-30
+3
+9.5
W
34
5
DET logo
DET@
W
27-24
+3
+2
W
17
6
PHI logo
PHI
L
23-28
-5
-3
L
-11
7
CHI logo
CHI@
L
03-17
-14
-3
L
-18
8
TB logo
TB@
W
17-03
+14
+1
W
7
9
ATL logo
ATL
W
20-17
+3
+3
W
4
10
MIA logo
MIA
W
45-21
+24
-8
W
37
11BYE WEEK
12
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
35-27
+8
-6
W
-2
13
NO logo
NO@
L
21-31
-10
+6
L
-19
14
MIN logo
MIN
W
31-24
+7
+2.5
W
-2
15
GB logo
GB
W
31-24
+7
-3
W
14
16
TB logo
TB
W
22-19
+3
-10
L
-11
17
ATL logo
ATL@
L
10-22
-12
+5
L
-34
18
NO logo
NO@
L
26-31
-5
+6.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.02
12th
EPA / Pass
-0.01
15th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
15th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.06
12th
EPA / Pass
-0.01
17th
EPA / Rush
-0.13
7th
Sack EPA
-3.64
13th
Turnover EPA
-5.99
14th
Point Differential
+1.8
14th
Points For
22.9
11th
Points Against
21.1
13th
Total Yards
329.1
16th
Passing Yards
164.9
25th
Rushing Yards
130.1
4th
Total Yards Allowed
322.8
10th
Passing Allowed
224.9
27th
Rushing Allowed
85.4
3rd

Conversions For

3rd Down
42%
7th
4th Down
46%
17th
Red Zone
52%
21st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
12th
4th Down
33%
7th
Red Zone
50%
12th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
14th
Created
1.4
14th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
24th
Created
0.6
24th

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
3rd
Created
0.7
7th