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DAL logo

Dallas Cowboys

2017 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-7
nfelo Rating
151714th
Point Diff / Game
+1.415th
Net EPA / Play
+0.02514th

2017 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NYG logo
NYG
W
19-03
+16
-6
W
37
2
DEN logo
DEN@
L
17-42
-25
-2.5
L
-15
3
ARI logo
ARI@
W
28-17
+11
-3
W
57
4
LAR logo
LAR
L
30-35
-5
-5.5
L
-52
5
GB logo
GB
L
31-35
-4
-2.5
L
-3
6BYE WEEK
7
SF logo
SF@
W
40-10
+30
-6.5
W
19
8
WAS logo
WAS@
W
33-19
+14
-3
W
12
9
KC logo
KC
W
28-17
+11
-2.5
W
14
10
ATL logo
ATL@
L
07-27
-20
+3.5
L
-30
11
PHI logo
PHI
L
09-37
-28
+6.5
L
-63
12
LAC logo
LAC
L
06-28
-22
+1
L
-43
13
WAS logo
WAS
W
38-14
+24
+1.5
W
11
14
NYG logo
NYG@
W
30-10
+20
-4
W
34
15
OAK logo
OAK@
W
20-17
+3
-3
P
34
16
SEA logo
SEA
L
12-21
-9
-4.5
L
-20
17
PHI logo
PHI@
W
06-00
+6
-4
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.01
10th
EPA / Pass
-0.08
19th
EPA / Rush
+0.07
1st
Def. EPA / Play
-0.03
16th
EPA / Pass
+0.02
20th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
23rd
Sack EPA
-3.63
12th
Turnover EPA
-5.43
19th
Point Differential
+1.4
15th
Points For
22.1
14th
Points Against
20.8
9th
Total Yards
331.9
14th
Passing Yards
160.8
27th
Rushing Yards
135.6
2nd
Total Yards Allowed
318.4
6th
Passing Allowed
151.5
1st
Rushing Allowed
104.1
8th

Conversions For

3rd Down
43%
6th
4th Down
53%
11th
Red Zone
60%
7th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
43%
29th
4th Down
31%
6th
Red Zone
57%
22nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
16th
Created
1.2
21st

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
17th
Created
0.6
25th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
13th
Created
0.6
14th