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  4. 2024
LAC logo

Los Angeles Chargers

2024 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-7
nfelo Rating
16258th
Point Diff / Game
+4.59th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0939th

2024 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
OAK logo
OAK
W
22-10
+12
-3
W
12
2
CAR logo
CAR@
W
26-03
+23
-4.5
W
35
3
PIT logo
PIT@
L
10-20
-10
+2.5
L
-12
4
KC logo
KC
L
10-17
-7
+7.5
W
-26
5BYE WEEK
6
DEN logo
DEN@
W
23-16
+7
-3
W
27
7
ARI logo
ARI@
L
15-17
-2
-1
L
4
8
NO logo
NO
W
26-08
+18
-7
W
17
9
CLE logo
CLE@
W
27-10
+17
-2
W
50
10
TEN logo
TEN
W
27-17
+10
-8.5
W
-0
11
CIN logo
CIN
W
34-27
+7
-1
W
11
12
BAL logo
BAL
L
23-30
-7
+3
L
-26
13
ATL logo
ATL@
W
17-13
+4
-1
W
12
14
KC logo
KC@
L
17-19
-2
+4.5
W
4
15
TB logo
TB
L
17-40
-23
-3
L
-36
16
DEN logo
DEN
W
34-27
+7
-2.5
W
16
17
NE logo
NE@
W
40-07
+33
-6
W
46
18
OAK logo
OAK@
W
34-20
+14
-7
W
23
19
HOU logo
HOU@
L
12-32
-20
-2.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.02
13th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
14th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
19th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.07
4th
EPA / Pass
-0.08
4th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
11th
Sack EPA
-4.10
18th
Turnover EPA
-3.26
29th
Point Differential
+4.5
9th
Points For
23.0
13th
Points Against
18.5
2nd
Total Yards
321.0
20th
Passing Yards
188.9
16th
Rushing Yards
107.3
20th
Total Yards Allowed
330.2
11th
Passing Allowed
189.3
18th
Rushing Allowed
120.3
14th

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
13th
4th Down
59%
13th
Red Zone
55%
18th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
4th
4th Down
65%
25th
Red Zone
45%
2nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.7
2nd
Created
1.4
10th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.4
5th
Created
0.9
7th

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
3rd
Created
0.5
13th