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MIN logo

Minnesota Vikings

2020 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9
nfelo Rating
148617th
Point Diff / Game
-2.822nd
Net EPA / Play
-0.06223rd

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
GB logo
GB
L
34-43
-9
-1.5
L
-3
2
IND logo
IND@
L
11-28
-17
+3.5
L
-58
3
TEN logo
TEN
L
30-31
-1
+2.5
W
8
4
HOU logo
HOU@
W
31-23
+8
+3.5
W
9
5
SEA logo
SEA@
L
26-27
-1
+6.5
W
8
6
ATL logo
ATL
L
23-40
-17
-3.5
L
-10
7BYE WEEK
8
GB logo
GB@
W
28-22
+6
+6
W
12
9
DET logo
DET
W
34-20
+14
-3.5
W
20
10
CHI logo
CHI@
W
19-13
+6
-3.5
W
14
11
DAL logo
DAL
L
28-31
-3
-7
L
-2
12
CAR logo
CAR
W
28-27
+1
-3
L
4
13
JAX logo
JAX
W
27-24
+3
-10
L
-9
14
TB logo
TB@
L
14-26
-12
+7
L
-29
15
CHI logo
CHI
L
27-33
-6
-3
L
-8
16
NO logo
NO@
L
33-52
-19
+6.5
L
-2
17
DET logo
DET@
W
37-35
+2
-3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.04
13th
EPA / Pass
+0.16
9th
EPA / Rush
+0.02
8th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.10
27th
EPA / Pass
+0.15
25th
EPA / Rush
+0.01
19th
Sack EPA
-4.66
23rd
Turnover EPA
-5.74
15th
Point Differential
-2.8
22nd
Points For
26.9
11th
Points Against
29.7
29th
Total Yards
394.3
2nd
Passing Yards
251.1
5th
Rushing Yards
143.1
5th
Total Yards Allowed
393.6
27th
Passing Allowed
187.3
9th
Rushing Allowed
134.7
27th

Conversions For

3rd Down
41%
16th
4th Down
57%
17th
Red Zone
71%
6th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
9th
4th Down
71%
30th
Red Zone
59%
10th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.6
26th
Created
1.3
17th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
17th
Created
0.9
9th

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
27th
Created
0.3
28th