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nfelo

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    • Games
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    • Betting Card
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New England Patriots

AFC East

nfelo History

Current nfelo
1443
Week 5, 2025
Best nfelo
1736
Week 20, 2017
Worst nfelo
1345
Week 18, 2024

Season History

2025
2-2
PF: 25.5 |PA: 20.3
nfelo: 1457
Rank #23
2024
4-13
PF: 17.0 |PA: 24.5
nfelo: 1267
Rank #32
2023
4-13
PF: 13.9 |PA: 21.5
nfelo: 1420
Rank #24
2022
8-9
PF: 21.4 |PA: 20.4
nfelo: 1524
Rank #8
2021
10-8
PF: 26.6 |PA: 19.4
nfelo: 1602
Rank #8
2020
7-9
PF: 20.4 |PA: 22.1
nfelo: 1465
Rank #21
2019
12-5
PF: 25.5 |PA: 14.4
nfelo: 1653
Rank #5
2018
14-5
PF: 27.7 |PA: 20.4
nfelo: 1684
Rank #1
2017
15-4
PF: 28.9 |PA: 19.5
nfelo: 1693
Rank #1
2016
17-2
PF: 28.7 |PA: 16.4
nfelo: 1747
Rank #1
2015
13-5
PF: 28.3 |PA: 19.7
nfelo: 1650
Rank #3
2014
15-4
PF: 30.3 |PA: 19.7
nfelo: 1689
Rank #2
2013
13-5
PF: 27.9 |PA: 21.4
nfelo: 1607
Rank #6
2012
13-5
PF: 33.9 |PA: 21.5
nfelo: 1717
Rank #1
2011
15-4
PF: 31.5 |PA: 20.7
nfelo: 1704
Rank #3
2010
14-3
PF: 31.7 |PA: 20.1
nfelo: 1693
Rank #1
2009
10-7
PF: 25.9 |PA: 18.7
nfelo: 1599
Rank #11
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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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