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NO logo

New Orleans Saints

2017 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
12-6
nfelo Rating
16163rd
Point Diff / Game
+6.85th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1205th

2017 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
MIN logo
MIN@
L
19-29
-10
+3
L
-9
2
NE logo
NE
L
20-36
-16
+6
L
-18
3
CAR logo
CAR@
W
34-13
+21
+5.5
W
15
4
MIA logo
MIA@
W
20-00
+20
-4
W
26
5BYE WEEK
6
DET logo
DET
W
52-38
+14
-5.5
W
7
7
GB logo
GB@
W
26-17
+9
-4
W
11
8
CHI logo
CHI
W
20-12
+8
-8.5
L
0
9
TB logo
TB
W
30-10
+20
-7
W
34
10
BUF logo
BUF@
W
47-10
+37
-2
W
27
11
WAS logo
WAS
W
34-31
+3
-9.5
L
-4
12
LAR logo
LAR@
L
20-26
-6
+2.5
L
-4
13
CAR logo
CAR
W
31-21
+10
-6
W
22
14
ATL logo
ATL@
L
17-20
-3
+2.5
L
-5
15
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
31-19
+12
-16
L
-3
16
ATL logo
ATL
W
23-13
+10
-5.5
W
23
17
TB logo
TB@
L
24-31
-7
-6
L
-11
18
CAR logo
CAR
W
31-26
+5
-6.5
L
1
19
MIN logo
MIN@
L
24-29
-5
+5.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.08
2nd
EPA / Pass
+0.18
3rd
EPA / Rush
-0.01
3rd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.04
15th
EPA / Pass
-0.03
14th
EPA / Rush
-0.03
24th
Sack EPA
-2.31
2nd
Turnover EPA
-4.49
26th
Point Differential
+6.8
5th
Points For
27.9
4th
Points Against
21.2
14th
Total Yards
390.5
2nd
Passing Yards
232.5
6th
Rushing Yards
121.8
6th
Total Yards Allowed
344.6
19th
Passing Allowed
234.1
32nd
Rushing Allowed
110.5
14th

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
21st
4th Down
76%
1st
Red Zone
60%
6th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
43%
27th
4th Down
36%
10th
Red Zone
51%
14th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
8th
Created
1.5
8th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
6th
Created
1.2
4th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
13th
Created
0.3
27th