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NO logo

New Orleans Saints

2020 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
13-5
nfelo Rating
17571st
Point Diff / Game
+8.24th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1404th

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
TB logo
TB
W
34-23
+11
-4
W
-7
2
OAK logo
OAK@
L
24-34
-10
-4
L
-29
3
GB logo
GB
L
30-37
-7
-3
L
-4
4
DET logo
DET@
W
35-29
+6
-3
W
-7
5
LAC logo
LAC
W
30-27
+3
-7
L
-3
6BYE WEEK
7
CAR logo
CAR
W
27-24
+3
-7
L
-1
8
CHI logo
CHI@
W
26-23
+3
-5.5
L
-1
9
TB logo
TB@
W
38-03
+35
+3.5
W
18
10
SF logo
SF
W
27-13
+14
-9.5
W
-229
11
ATL logo
ATL
W
24-09
+15
-3.5
W
99
12
DEN logo
DEN@
W
31-03
+28
-17
W
108
13
ATL logo
ATL@
W
21-16
+5
-3
W
16
14
PHI logo
PHI@
L
21-24
-3
-7.5
L
187
15
KC logo
KC
L
29-32
-3
+3
P
-62
16
MIN logo
MIN
W
52-33
+19
-6.5
W
4
17
CAR logo
CAR@
W
33-07
+26
-6
W
6
18
CHI logo
CHI
W
21-09
+12
-9.5
W
4
19
TB logo
TB
L
20-30
-10
-2.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.06
12th
EPA / Pass
+0.09
13th
EPA / Rush
+0.02
6th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.08
3rd
EPA / Pass
-0.07
5th
EPA / Rush
-0.13
1st
Sack EPA
-3.92
14th
Turnover EPA
-5.49
18th
Point Differential
+8.2
4th
Points For
29.1
5th
Points Against
20.9
3rd
Total Yards
372.3
12th
Passing Yards
188.3
21st
Rushing Yards
138.4
7th
Total Yards Allowed
307.4
2nd
Passing Allowed
204.9
18th
Rushing Allowed
93.2
3rd

Conversions For

3rd Down
47%
5th
4th Down
65%
6th
Red Zone
72%
5th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
5th
4th Down
53%
15th
Red Zone
63%
23rd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
17th
Created
1.4
10th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
6th
Created
1.0
5th

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
26th
Created
0.4
26th