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NYJ logo

New York Jets

2020 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
2-14
nfelo Rating
131630th
Point Diff / Game
-13.432nd
Net EPA / Play
-0.24932nd

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
BUF logo
BUF@
L
17-27
-10
+6
L
-31
2
SF logo
SF
L
13-31
-18
+7
L
-26
3
IND logo
IND@
L
07-36
-29
+11.5
L
-56
4
DEN logo
DEN
L
28-37
-9
-1
L
-20
5
ARI logo
ARI
L
10-30
-20
+7
L
-12
6
MIA logo
MIA@
L
00-24
-24
+9
L
-7
7
BUF logo
BUF
L
10-18
-8
+9.5
W
-14
8
KC logo
KC@
L
09-35
-26
+19.5
L
-17
9
NE logo
NE
L
27-30
-3
+9.5
W
25
10BYE WEEK
11
LAC logo
LAC@
L
28-34
-6
+9.5
W
-8
12
MIA logo
MIA
L
03-20
-17
+7.5
L
-14
13
OAK logo
OAK
L
28-31
-3
+7.5
W
20
14
SEA logo
SEA@
L
03-40
-37
+16.5
L
-55
15
LAR logo
LAR@
W
23-20
+3
+17
W
20
16
CLE logo
CLE
W
23-16
+7
+6.5
W
62
17
NE logo
NE@
L
14-28
-14
+3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.17
32nd
EPA / Pass
-0.19
32nd
EPA / Rush
-0.11
28th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.07
24th
EPA / Pass
+0.20
29th
EPA / Rush
-0.12
3rd
Sack EPA
-4.65
22nd
Turnover EPA
-5.47
19th
Point Differential
-13.4
32nd
Points For
15.2
32nd
Points Against
28.6
26th
Total Yards
280.1
32nd
Passing Yards
174.9
25th
Rushing Yards
105.2
22nd
Total Yards Allowed
387.6
24th
Passing Allowed
200.8
15th
Rushing Allowed
112.0
12th

Conversions For

3rd Down
34%
31st
4th Down
39%
30th
Red Zone
41%
32nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
45%
23rd
4th Down
42%
5th
Red Zone
60%
14th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
12th
Created
1.2
22nd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
23rd
Created
0.6
23rd

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
5th
Created
0.6
13th