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PIT logo

Pittsburgh Steelers

2020 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
12-5
nfelo Rating
157111th
Point Diff / Game
+5.57th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0987th

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NYG logo
NYG@
W
26-16
+10
-6
W
4
2
DEN logo
DEN
W
26-21
+5
-6.5
L
3
3
HOU logo
HOU
W
28-21
+7
-4
W
-3
4BYE WEEK
5
PHI logo
PHI
W
38-29
+9
-7.5
W
25
6
CLE logo
CLE
W
38-07
+31
-3
W
5
7
TEN logo
TEN@
W
27-24
+3
+1
W
-0
8
BAL logo
BAL@
W
28-24
+4
+4
W
6
9
DAL logo
DAL@
W
24-19
+5
-14
L
-2
10
CIN logo
CIN
W
36-10
+26
-6.5
W
17
11
JAX logo
JAX@
W
27-03
+24
-10.5
W
7
12
BAL logo
BAL
W
19-14
+5
-10.5
L
2
13
WAS logo
WAS
L
17-23
-6
-5.5
L
-32
14
BUF logo
BUF@
L
15-26
-11
+2
L
-44
15
CIN logo
CIN@
L
17-27
-10
-14.5
L
-23
16
IND logo
IND
W
28-24
+4
+1
W
-122
17
CLE logo
CLE@
L
22-24
-2
+10
W
149
18
CLE logo
CLE
L
37-48
-11
-4
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.01
19th
EPA / Pass
+0.08
15th
EPA / Rush
-0.17
32nd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.09
2nd
EPA / Pass
-0.14
2nd
EPA / Rush
-0.07
10th
Sack EPA
-1.34
1st
Turnover EPA
-5.55
17th
Point Differential
+5.5
7th
Points For
26.6
12th
Points Against
21.2
5th
Total Yards
347.8
22nd
Passing Yards
132.9
31st
Rushing Yards
82.5
32nd
Total Yards Allowed
311.0
3rd
Passing Allowed
183.2
8th
Rushing Allowed
112.4
13th

Conversions For

3rd Down
43%
13th
4th Down
59%
11th
Red Zone
66%
8th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
6th
4th Down
25%
1st
Red Zone
55%
5th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
18th
Created
1.6
3rd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
25th
Created
1.1
4th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
9th
Created
0.6
11th