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TEN logo

Tennessee Titans

2013 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
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    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
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    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9
nfelo Rating
142126th
Point Diff / Game
-1.219th
Net EPA / Play
-0.02618th

2013 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
PIT logo
PIT@
W
16-09
+7
+6
W
24
2
HOU logo
HOU@
L
24-30
-6
+7.5
W
2
3
LAC logo
LAC
W
20-17
+3
-3
P
25
4
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
38-13
+25
-3.5
W
12
5
KC logo
KC
L
17-26
-9
+2.5
L
-47
6
SEA logo
SEA@
L
13-20
-7
+12.5
W
26
7
SF logo
SF
L
17-31
-14
+3.5
L
-3
8BYE WEEK
9
LAR logo
LAR@
W
28-21
+7
-3
W
1
10
JAX logo
JAX
L
27-29
-2
-11.5
L
-14
11
IND logo
IND
L
27-30
-3
+3
P
-11
12
OAK logo
OAK@
W
23-19
+4
-2.5
W
14
13
IND logo
IND@
L
14-22
-8
+3.5
L
-3
14
DEN logo
DEN@
L
28-51
-23
+12.5
L
-13
15
ARI logo
ARI
L
34-37
-3
+3
P
11
16
JAX logo
JAX@
W
20-16
+4
-4
P
-5
17
HOU logo
HOU
W
16-10
+6
-6.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.01
16th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
13th
EPA / Rush
-0.03
12th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.04
22nd
EPA / Pass
+0.04
15th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
20th
Sack EPA
-3.60
7th
Turnover EPA
-6.02
20th
Point Differential
-1.2
19th
Points For
22.6
18th
Points Against
23.8
16th
Total Yards
336.9
21st
Passing Yards
218.5
15th
Rushing Yards
118.4
14th
Total Yards Allowed
338.1
14th
Passing Allowed
184.7
8th
Rushing Allowed
112.3
19th

Conversions For

3rd Down
41%
8th
4th Down
65%
7th
Red Zone
57%
9th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
34%
6th
4th Down
64%
27th
Red Zone
63%
27th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
15th
Created
1.7
13th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
18th
Created
0.8
22nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
5th
Created
0.9
1st