CINBengals
0-2
27
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
012
NYJJets
1-1
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
14
6
7
0
27
Jets
6
3
3
0
12
Spread
-6.5
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
330
328
Total Plays
66
76
Yards / Play
5.0
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.00
-0.28
Passing Yards
261
252
Comp/Att
23/36(64%)
28/52(54%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.33
-0.45
Rushing Yards
69
76
Rush Attempts
28
20
Yards / Rush
2.5
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.29
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
19
Passing 1st downs
12
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
50%
39%
3rd Down Conversions
7
7
3rd Down Attempts
14
18
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-4.77
-16.30
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-14
-33
Sack EPA
-2.08
-12.23
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
30
55
Penalty EPA
-3.75
-8.82
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model67.1%
Spread Pick
Jets+6.5
Expected Value
+2.9%
Cover Probability
53.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-85
Home nfelo
1,367
Away nfelo
1,525
Home Field
+37.9
Base HFA
+37.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+35.2
Home QB Adjustment
+28.6
Away QB Adjustment
-6.7
Market Regression
-1.3
Final Difference
-123.8
Model Spread
+4.5
Quarterbacks
J. Burrow
Proj. Value
+4.0
Team Elo Adj
-6.7
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+28.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
2
Yards / Game
11
4
Passing Yards / Game
1
14
Rushing Yards / Game
28
17
EPA
EPA / Play
5
4
EPA / Pass
4
5
EPA / Rush
18
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
13
Interceptions / Game
13
19
Fumbles / Game
4
31
Turnover EPA / Game
23
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
10
4th Down Efficiency
32
8
RZ Efficiency
7
3
Jets Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
5
Yards / Game
25
17
Passing Yards / Game
10
29
Rushing Yards / Game
25
5
EPA
EPA / Play
29
7
EPA / Pass
26
10
EPA / Rush
22
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
7
Interceptions / Game
17
15
Fumbles / Game
11
3
Turnover EPA / Game
11
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
19
4th Down Efficiency
26
12
RZ Efficiency
31
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
6-4
SU
8-2
ATS
2-8
O/U
Jets
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U