LACChargers
0-2
28
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
024
MINVikings
0-2
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
7
7
7
7
28
Vikings
0
10
7
7
24
Spread
+0
Total
UNDER
54
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
475
475
Total Plays
64
78
Yards / Play
7.4
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.00
Passing Yards
445
345
Comp/Att
41/48(85%)
32/50(64%)
Yards / Pass
9.3
6.9
EPA / Pass
+0.43
-0.09
Rushing Yards
30
130
Rush Attempts
15
24
Yards / Rush
2.0
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.55
+0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
29
Passing 1st downs
22
15
Rushing 1st downs
2
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
7
3rd Down %
45%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
100%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.07
-8.66
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-9
-22
Sack EPA
-2.15
-7.41
Penalties
12
6
Penalty Yards
94
--
Penalty EPA
-16.81
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
Market50.0%
Model50.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+13
Home nfelo
1,475
Away nfelo
1,536
Home Field
+58.4
Base HFA
+43.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+15.4
Net QB Adjustment
+16.3
Home QB Adjustment
+17.0
Away QB Adjustment
+0.7
Market Regression
+10.8
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
J. Herbert
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+0.7
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+17.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
12
Yards / Game
18
16
Passing Yards / Game
17
28
Rushing Yards / Game
24
6
EPA
EPA / Play
22
16
EPA / Pass
18
21
EPA / Rush
31
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
10
Interceptions / Game
3
19
Fumbles / Game
27
8
Turnover EPA / Game
16
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
24
4th Down Efficiency
23
32
RZ Efficiency
13
14
Vikings Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
23
Yards / Game
11
28
Passing Yards / Game
2
21
Rushing Yards / Game
29
16
EPA
EPA / Play
21
20
EPA / Pass
17
24
EPA / Rush
17
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
12
Interceptions / Game
29
25
Fumbles / Game
29
8
Turnover EPA / Game
5
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
15
4th Down Efficiency
8
28
RZ Efficiency
29
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Vikings
5-5
SU
3-6-1
ATS
8-2
O/U