INDColts
12-2
29
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
31°F
25 mph
28
CLEBrowns
2-13
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
31°F
25 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
13
6
10
29
Browns
7
7
14
0
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
396
314
Total Plays
74
52
Yards / Play
5.4
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.24
+0.27
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
27/43(63%)
15/26(58%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.26
+0.21
Rushing Yards
120
141
Rush Attempts
31
26
Yards / Rush
3.9
5.4
EPA / Rush
+0.05
+0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
17
Passing 1st downs
16
8
Rushing 1st downs
10
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
42%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
60%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
--
7
Penalty Yards
--
37
Penalty EPA
--
-3.76
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
29
Yards / Game
7
31
Passing Yards / Game
29
2
Rushing Yards / Game
19
31
EPA
EPA / Play
3
31
EPA / Pass
2
29
EPA / Rush
12
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
2
Interceptions / Game
12
31
Fumbles / Game
10
10
Turnover EPA / Game
24
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
31
4th Down Efficiency
28
29
RZ Efficiency
19
26
Browns Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
17
Yards / Game
31
15
Passing Yards / Game
24
7
Rushing Yards / Game
31
21
EPA
EPA / Play
24
19
EPA / Pass
27
19
EPA / Rush
17
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
31
Interceptions / Game
5
30
Fumbles / Game
17
19
Turnover EPA / Game
25
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
12
4th Down Efficiency
2
12
RZ Efficiency
1
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
10-0
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Browns
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U