PHIEagles
9-6
34
TBD
MetLife Stadium
48°F
8 mph
26
NYGGiants
6-9
TBD
MetLife Stadium
48°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
14
3
1
10
28
Giants
10
6
3
7
26
Spread
+1
Total
OVER
51.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
426
505
Total Plays
72
78
Yards / Play
5.9
6.5
EPA / Play
+0.07
-0.07
Passing Yards
262
--
Comp/Att
23/36(64%)
28/53(53%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
--
EPA / Pass
+0.14
+0.10
Rushing Yards
164
76
Rush Attempts
32
25
Yards / Rush
5.1
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
22
Passing 1st downs
12
17
Rushing 1st downs
9
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
44%
39%
3rd Down Conversions
7
7
3rd Down Attempts
16
18
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.50
-5.46
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-30
--
Sack EPA
-4.84
--
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
35
106
Penalty EPA
-4.00
-10.13
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-1.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model52.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+2
Home nfelo
1,467
Away nfelo
1,635
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+113.9
Home QB Adjustment
+35.5
Away QB Adjustment
-78.4
Market Regression
-11.9
Final Difference
15.3
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-78.4
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+35.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
22
Yards / Game
4
29
Passing Yards / Game
19
31
Rushing Yards / Game
8
30
EPA
EPA / Play
14
20
EPA / Pass
15
16
EPA / Rush
21
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
23
Interceptions / Game
32
11
Fumbles / Game
31
10
Turnover EPA / Game
1
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
4
4th Down Efficiency
2
9
RZ Efficiency
24
8
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
22
Yards / Game
11
28
Passing Yards / Game
12
7
Rushing Yards / Game
23
15
EPA
EPA / Play
16
7
EPA / Pass
13
17
EPA / Rush
26
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
19
Interceptions / Game
15
22
Fumbles / Game
22
1
Turnover EPA / Game
9
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
12
4th Down Efficiency
31
4
RZ Efficiency
8
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Giants
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U