nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. eagles @ giants week 17, 2014

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

PHI logo
PHIEagles
9-6
34
TBD
MetLife Stadium
48°F
8 mph
26
NYGGiants
6-9
NYG logo
TBD
MetLife Stadium
48°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
14
3
1
10
28
Giants
10
6
3
7
26

Spread

PHI logo
+1

Total

OVER
51.5

Game Statistics

General
Eagles logo
Giants logo
Total Yards
426
505
Total Plays
72
78
Yards / Play
5.9
6.5
EPA / Play
+0.07
-0.07
Passing Yards
262
--
Comp/Att
23/36(64%)
28/53(53%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
--
EPA / Pass
+0.14
+0.10
Rushing Yards
164
76
Rush Attempts
32
25
Yards / Rush
5.1
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
Eagles logo
Giants logo
1st Downs
23
22
Passing 1st downs
12
17
Rushing 1st downs
9
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
44%
39%
3rd Down Conversions
7
7
3rd Down Attempts
16
18
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Eagles logo
Giants logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.50
-5.46
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-30
--
Sack EPA
-4.84
--
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
35
106
Penalty EPA
-4.00
-10.13

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
NYG logo
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-1.0
Model
-1.0

Win Probability

Market52.2%
Model52.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+3
Home nfelo
1,468
Away nfelo
1,635
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+113.9
Home QB Adjustment
+35.5
Away QB Adjustment
-78.4
Market Regression
-12.0
Final Difference
15.3
Model Spread
-1.0

Quarterbacks

M. Sanchez headshot

M. Sanchez

Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-78.4
Value
Ptile
12/09
-4.0
24
12/17
-13.3
1
12/30
-5.7
14
11/10
2.6
69
11/16
-1.3
41
11/23
0.2
51
11/27
4.0
77
12/07
-5.0
20
12/14
-8.5
7
12/20
5.1
83
E. Manning headshot

E. Manning

Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+35.5
Value
Ptile
10/12
-9.5
4
10/19
5.9
86
11/03
2.3
68
11/09
0.6
54
11/16
-10.4
2
11/23
5.4
84
11/30
-0.6
46
12/07
0.7
54
12/14
4.3
79
12/21
10.4
97

Team Matchup Ranks

Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Eagles logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
3
22
Yards / Game
4
29
Passing Yards / Game
19
31
Rushing Yards / Game
8
30

EPA

EPA / Play
14
20
EPA / Pass
15
16
EPA / Rush
21
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
23
Interceptions / Game
32
11
Fumbles / Game
31
10
Turnover EPA / Game
1
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
4
4th Down Efficiency
2
9
RZ Efficiency
24
8
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Giants logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
13
22
Yards / Game
11
28
Passing Yards / Game
12
7
Rushing Yards / Game
23
15

EPA

EPA / Play
16
7
EPA / Pass
13
17
EPA / Rush
26
5

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
19
Interceptions / Game
15
22
Fumbles / Game
22
1
Turnover EPA / Game
9
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
12
4th Down Efficiency
31
4
RZ Efficiency
8
20

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

PHI logo

Eagles

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/12
27
W
W
U
10/26
-4
L
L
U
11/02
10
W
W
O
11/10
24
W
W
O
11/16
-33
L
L
O
11/23
19
W
W
O
11/27
23
W
W
U
12/07
-10
L
L
U
12/14
-11
L
L
O
12/20
-3
L
L
P
NYG logo

Giants

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/12
-27
L
L
U
10/19
-10
L
L
O
11/03
-16
L
L
O
11/09
-21
L
L
O
11/16
-6
L
L
U
11/23
-3
L
W
O
11/30
-1
L
L
O
12/07
29
W
W
U
12/14
11
W
W
U
12/21
10
W
W
O