PHIEagles
0-2
24
TBD
MetLife Stadium
66°F
7 mph
17
NYJJets
2-0
TBD
MetLife Stadium
66°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
3
15
0
0
18
Jets
0
7
0
10
17
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
231
323
Total Plays
67
75
Yards / Play
3.4
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.16
-0.28
Passing Yards
108
276
Comp/Att
14/28(50%)
35/58(60%)
Yards / Pass
3.9
4.8
EPA / Pass
-0.13
-0.32
Rushing Yards
123
47
Rush Attempts
38
16
Yards / Rush
3.2
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.26
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
19
Passing 1st downs
6
14
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
29%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
14
17
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.62
-16.39
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-10
-7
Sack EPA
-2.07
-0.99
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
21
53
Penalty EPA
-2.51
-5.40
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+28
Home nfelo
1,487
Away nfelo
1,564
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+19.8
Home QB Adjustment
+15.3
Away QB Adjustment
-4.5
Market Regression
+59.7
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-4.5
R. Fitzpatrick
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+15.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
7
Yards / Game
12
4
Passing Yards / Game
14
9
Rushing Yards / Game
15
2
EPA
EPA / Play
21
4
EPA / Pass
22
9
EPA / Rush
16
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
31
Interceptions / Game
26
5
Fumbles / Game
30
12
Turnover EPA / Game
2
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
3
4th Down Efficiency
15
21
RZ Efficiency
22
1
Jets Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
28
Yards / Game
10
30
Passing Yards / Game
15
31
Rushing Yards / Game
10
32
EPA
EPA / Play
17
17
EPA / Pass
9
16
EPA / Rush
15
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
15
Interceptions / Game
22
10
Fumbles / Game
15
15
Turnover EPA / Game
24
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
26
4th Down Efficiency
25
27
RZ Efficiency
3
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Jets
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
3-7
O/U