ATLFalcons
4-3
23
TBD
Nissan Stadium
77°F
7 mph
28
TENTitans
2-4
TBD
Nissan Stadium
77°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
3
0
6
14
23
Titans
7
7
7
7
28
Spread
+2.5
Total
OVER
35
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
342
375
Total Plays
66
67
Yards / Play
5.2
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.02
+0.01
Passing Yards
202
226
Comp/Att
20/34(59%)
19/29(66%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
7.8
EPA / Pass
-0.16
+0.20
Rushing Yards
140
149
Rush Attempts
26
36
Yards / Rush
5.4
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.09
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
17
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
4
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
27%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.32
-6.43
Sacks
6
2
Sack Yards
-44
-12
Sack EPA
-12.68
-2.53
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
15
53
Penalty EPA
-2.36
-4.24
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-0.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model51.2%
Spread Pick
Titans+2.5
Expected Value
+2.6%
Cover Probability
53.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+23
Home nfelo
1,464
Away nfelo
1,462
Home Field
+63.0
Base HFA
+43.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+12.4
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.1
Time Adj
-7.7
Net QB Adjustment
-42.6
Home QB Adjustment
-43.4
Away QB Adjustment
-0.8
Market Regression
-23.4
Final Difference
-8.1
Model Spread
+0.5
Quarterbacks
D. Ridder
Proj. Value
-1.6
Team Elo Adj
-0.8
W. Levis
Proj. Value
-4.2
Team Elo Adj
-43.4
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
15
Yards / Game
17
17
Passing Yards / Game
27
19
Rushing Yards / Game
8
14
EPA
EPA / Play
27
28
EPA / Pass
23
30
EPA / Rush
25
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
4
Interceptions / Game
27
32
Fumbles / Game
22
13
Turnover EPA / Game
6
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
18
4th Down Efficiency
29
26
RZ Efficiency
30
1
Titans Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
17
Yards / Game
28
10
Passing Yards / Game
18
10
Rushing Yards / Game
18
19
EPA
EPA / Play
16
12
EPA / Pass
21
14
EPA / Rush
13
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
20
Interceptions / Game
10
29
Fumbles / Game
6
21
Turnover EPA / Game
29
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
3
4th Down Efficiency
11
12
RZ Efficiency
28
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
6-4
SU
3-7
ATS
2-8
O/U
Titans
2-8
SU
4-4-2
ATS
1-9
O/U