NYGGiants
4-8
40
TBD
FedExField
33°F
6 mph
16
WASCommanders
6-6
TBD
FedExField
33°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
1
27
6
0
34
Commanders
0
0
0
16
16
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
402
292
Total Plays
63
59
Yards / Play
6.4
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.11
-0.38
Passing Yards
175
208
Comp/Att
14/27(52%)
17/32(53%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
6.5
EPA / Pass
+0.05
-0.45
Rushing Yards
227
84
Rush Attempts
34
22
Yards / Rush
6.7
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.07
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
12
Passing 1st downs
11
5
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
31%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
4
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
60%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.81
-16.17
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-22
-29
Sack EPA
-5.26
-7.33
Penalties
2
15
Penalty Yards
18
135
Penalty EPA
-1.96
-9.43
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model52.8%
Spread Pick
Commanders+3.0
Expected Value
+8.7%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+20
Home nfelo
1,483
Away nfelo
1,441
Home Field
+51.4
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
-25.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-72.9
Home QB Adjustment
-76.4
Away QB Adjustment
-3.5
Market Regression
+10.8
Final Difference
-19.3
Model Spread
+1.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-3.5
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-76.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
15
Yards / Game
16
17
Passing Yards / Game
8
19
Rushing Yards / Game
24
16
EPA
EPA / Play
13
21
EPA / Pass
15
15
EPA / Rush
11
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
12
Interceptions / Game
14
11
Fumbles / Game
3
10
Turnover EPA / Game
22
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
29
4th Down Efficiency
10
2
RZ Efficiency
29
4
Commanders Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
23
Yards / Game
28
24
Passing Yards / Game
26
18
Rushing Yards / Game
17
21
EPA
EPA / Play
25
28
EPA / Pass
28
26
EPA / Rush
12
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
10
Interceptions / Game
23
7
Fumbles / Game
3
19
Turnover EPA / Game
16
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
27
4th Down Efficiency
17
32
RZ Efficiency
24
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
4-6
SU
6-3-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Commanders
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U