NYGGiants
10-5
19
TBD
FedExField
53°F
1 mph
10
WASCommanders
8-6
TBD
FedExField
53°F
1 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
7
0
3
13
Commanders
0
0
3
7
10
Spread
+9
Total
UNDER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
332
284
Total Plays
69
54
Yards / Play
4.8
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.13
-0.38
Passing Yards
171
246
Comp/Att
17/27(63%)
22/35(63%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
7.0
EPA / Pass
-0.03
-0.32
Rushing Yards
161
38
Rush Attempts
41
15
Yards / Rush
3.9
2.5
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.34
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
16
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
5
1
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
35%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
17
12
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-15.70
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-9
-41
Sack EPA
-2.18
-6.71
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
42
42
Penalty EPA
-8.54
-5.87
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-9.0
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market77.7%
Model73.7%
Spread Pick
Giants+9.0
Expected Value
+6.2%
Cover Probability
54.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+89
Home nfelo
1,541
Away nfelo
1,537
Home Field
+51.5
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
-25.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+33.2
Home QB Adjustment
+22.4
Away QB Adjustment
-10.9
Market Regression
+46.6
Final Difference
179.0
Model Spread
-7.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-10.9
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+22.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
18
Yards / Game
23
28
Passing Yards / Game
24
30
Rushing Yards / Game
29
24
EPA
EPA / Play
28
27
EPA / Pass
24
26
EPA / Rush
29
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
29
Interceptions / Game
21
18
Fumbles / Game
23
20
Turnover EPA / Game
14
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
32
4th Down Efficiency
14
20
RZ Efficiency
19
25
Commanders Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
4
Yards / Game
3
13
Passing Yards / Game
12
15
Rushing Yards / Game
20
2
EPA
EPA / Play
5
7
EPA / Pass
5
6
EPA / Rush
6
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
30
Interceptions / Game
14
8
Fumbles / Game
16
19
Turnover EPA / Game
15
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
3
4th Down Efficiency
14
15
RZ Efficiency
30
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
3-7
O/U
Commanders
5-4-1
SU
7-3
ATS
8-2
O/U