NYGGiants
3-2
7
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
44°F
6 mph
27
PHIEagles
2-3
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
44°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
0
0
0
7
Eagles
7
4
7
3
21
Spread
-3.5
Total
UNDER
50.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
247
428
Total Plays
64
76
Yards / Play
3.9
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.38
-0.06
Passing Yards
166
270
Comp/Att
24/38(63%)
24/38(63%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
7.1
EPA / Pass
-0.51
-0.19
Rushing Yards
81
158
Rush Attempts
23
37
Yards / Rush
3.5
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.29
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
24
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
10
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
31%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
4
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-16.42
-17.64
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-23
-10
Sack EPA
-5.23
-0.78
Penalties
12
9
Penalty Yards
94
72
Penalty EPA
-13.91
-8.07
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+122
Home nfelo
1,568
Away nfelo
1,471
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-31.1
Home QB Adjustment
-1.1
Away QB Adjustment
+30.0
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+30.0
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-1.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
28
Yards / Game
6
30
Passing Yards / Game
29
31
Rushing Yards / Game
18
32
EPA
EPA / Play
7
17
EPA / Pass
10
16
EPA / Rush
21
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
15
Interceptions / Game
17
10
Fumbles / Game
9
15
Turnover EPA / Game
14
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
26
4th Down Efficiency
8
27
RZ Efficiency
29
31
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
30
Yards / Game
12
32
Passing Yards / Game
14
13
Rushing Yards / Game
15
24
EPA
EPA / Play
21
31
EPA / Pass
22
25
EPA / Rush
16
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
28
Interceptions / Game
26
10
Fumbles / Game
30
9
Turnover EPA / Game
2
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
32
4th Down Efficiency
15
22
RZ Efficiency
22
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Eagles
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
3-6-1
O/U