NYJJets
0-1
31
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
70°F
030
CLEBrowns
1-0
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
0
14
0
17
31
Browns
7
7
3
13
30
Spread
+6.5
Total
OVER
38.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
402
405
Total Plays
67
65
Yards / Play
6.0
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.25
+0.25
Passing Yards
309
221
Comp/Att
27/45(60%)
22/27(81%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
8.2
EPA / Pass
+0.36
+0.51
Rushing Yards
93
184
Rush Attempts
20
37
Yards / Rush
4.7
5.0
EPA / Rush
+0.08
+0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
29
Passing 1st downs
16
15
Rushing 1st downs
3
12
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
53%
67%
3rd Down Conversions
8
8
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
75%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
4
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.22
-0.75
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-15
-8
Sack EPA
-5.30
-1.13
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
57
38
Penalty EPA
-8.63
-3.77
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-5.0
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model67.2%
Spread Pick
Jets+6.5
Expected Value
+2.1%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+91
Home nfelo
1,497
Away nfelo
1,362
Home Field
+50.5
Base HFA
+37.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-94.6
Home QB Adjustment
-75.4
Away QB Adjustment
+19.2
Market Regression
+2.6
Final Difference
124.9
Model Spread
-5.0
Quarterbacks
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+19.2
J. Brissett
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
-75.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
19
Yards / Game
25
12
Passing Yards / Game
10
16
Rushing Yards / Game
25
25
EPA
EPA / Play
29
23
EPA / Pass
26
11
EPA / Rush
22
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
12
Interceptions / Game
17
22
Fumbles / Game
11
14
Turnover EPA / Game
11
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
17
4th Down Efficiency
26
9
RZ Efficiency
31
15
Browns Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
2
Yards / Game
15
4
Passing Yards / Game
14
14
Rushing Yards / Game
5
17
EPA
EPA / Play
15
4
EPA / Pass
20
5
EPA / Rush
4
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
13
Interceptions / Game
10
19
Fumbles / Game
11
31
Turnover EPA / Game
28
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
10
4th Down Efficiency
8
8
RZ Efficiency
20
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Browns
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U