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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. panthers @ packers week 9, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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CAR logo
CARPanthers
4-4
16
TBD
Lambeau Field
47°F
15 mph
13
GBPackers
5-1
GB logo
TBD
Lambeau Field
47°F
15 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
0
7
6
3
16
Packers
0
6
0
7
13

Spread

CAR logo
+13

Total

UNDER
43.5

Game Statistics

General
Panthers logo
Packers logo
Total Yards
265
369
Total Plays
54
63
Yards / Play
4.9
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.09
-0.00
Passing Yards
102
265
Comp/Att
11/20(55%)
26/37(70%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
7.2
EPA / Pass
-0.17
+0.16
Rushing Yards
163
104
Rush Attempts
33
25
Yards / Rush
4.9
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.26
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
Panthers logo
Packers logo
1st Downs
19
20
Passing 1st downs
6
13
Rushing 1st downs
11
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
40%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
67%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Panthers logo
Packers logo
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.61
-9.83
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
--
-8
Sack EPA
+0.17
-1.59
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
--
42
Penalty EPA
--
-5.17

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
GB logo
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-12.5
Current
-13.0
Model
-13.0

Win Probability

Market84.9%
Model84.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+253
Home nfelo
1,597
Away nfelo
1,389
Home Field
+34.4
Base HFA
+41.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-7.5
Net QB Adjustment
+9.5
Home QB Adjustment
+18.5
Away QB Adjustment
+9.0
Market Regression
+8.2
Final Difference
297.5
Model Spread
-13.0

Quarterbacks

B. Young headshot

B. Young

Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+9.0
Value
Ptile
12/22
4.6
78
12/29
-5.4
14
01/05
11.1
98
09/07
-5.9
13
09/14
1.9
64
09/21
-1.8
38
09/28
-1.9
37
10/05
-4.1
23
10/12
0.9
58
10/19
-1.1
40
J. Love headshot

J. Love

Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+18.5
Value
Ptile
12/29
-2.4
32
01/05
-2.5
31
01/12
-7.7
6
09/07
2.1
65
09/11
3.0
72
09/21
-4.3
22
09/28
9.5
96
10/12
1.7
62
10/19
-0.2
49
10/26
10.5
98

Team Matchup Ranks

Panthers Offense vs Packers Defense
Panthers logo
Packers logo

Total

Points / Game
27
11
Yards / Game
27
12
Passing Yards / Game
21
5
Rushing Yards / Game
19
18

EPA

EPA / Play
25
24
EPA / Pass
24
22
EPA / Rush
23
19

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
4
25
Interceptions / Game
17
28
Fumbles / Game
26
21
Turnover EPA / Game
11
3

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
25
14
4th Down Efficiency
4
18
RZ Efficiency
24
21
Packers Offense vs Panthers Defense
Packers logo
Panthers logo

Total

Points / Game
16
15
Yards / Game
15
16
Passing Yards / Game
19
2
Rushing Yards / Game
15
20

EPA

EPA / Play
5
23
EPA / Pass
2
24
EPA / Rush
19
23

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
12
20
Interceptions / Game
1
8
Fumbles / Game
9
21
Turnover EPA / Game
30
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
2
31
4th Down Efficiency
18
24
RZ Efficiency
19
14

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CAR logo

Panthers

5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/29
-34
L
L
O
01/05
6
W
W
O
09/07
-16
L
L
U
09/14
-5
L
W
O
09/21
30
W
W
U
09/28
-29
L
L
O
10/05
3
W
W
O
10/12
3
W
W
O
10/19
7
W
W
U
10/26
-31
L
L
O
GB logo

Packers

5-4-1
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/29
-2
L
L
O
01/05
-2
L
L
O
01/12
-12
L
L
U
09/07
14
W
W
U
09/11
9
W
W
U
09/21
-3
L
L
U
09/28
0
T
L
O
10/12
9
W
L
O
10/19
4
W
L
O
10/26
10
W
W
O