OAKRaiders
-
34
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
81°F
5 mph
30
CARPanthers
-
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
81°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
7
10
10
7
34
Panthers
9
6
0
15
30
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
372
390
Total Plays
61
66
Yards / Play
6.1
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.32
+0.17
Passing Yards
--
261
Comp/Att
22/30(73%)
22/35(63%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.5
EPA / Pass
+0.36
+0.18
Rushing Yards
133
129
Rush Attempts
31
30
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.14
+0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
22
Passing 1st downs
11
13
Rushing 1st downs
10
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
55%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
6
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
75%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-10
Sack EPA
--
-1.95
Penalties
3
5
Penalty Yards
40
65
Penalty EPA
-4.07
-6.42
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-27
Home nfelo
1,412
Away nfelo
1,456
Home Field
+9.6
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+3.4
Net QB Adjustment
+7.4
Home QB Adjustment
+11.9
Away QB Adjustment
+4.5
Market Regression
-52.3
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+4.5
T. Bridgewater
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+11.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
18
Yards / Game
8
16
Passing Yards / Game
18
14
Rushing Yards / Game
14
18
EPA
EPA / Play
11
25
EPA / Pass
14
21
EPA / Rush
12
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
16
Interceptions / Game
7
30
Fumbles / Game
32
1
Turnover EPA / Game
3
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
31
4th Down Efficiency
3
21
RZ Efficiency
23
21
Panthers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
30
Yards / Game
21
26
Passing Yards / Game
20
5
Rushing Yards / Game
20
23
EPA
EPA / Play
16
29
EPA / Pass
21
28
EPA / Rush
13
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
24
Interceptions / Game
27
23
Fumbles / Game
12
31
Turnover EPA / Game
21
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
30
4th Down Efficiency
20
31
RZ Efficiency
28
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U
Panthers
1-9
SU
2-7-1
ATS
7-3
O/U