SEASeahawks
10-3
30
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
56°F
5 mph
24
CARPanthers
5-8
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
56°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
13
7
3
7
30
Panthers
0
7
3
14
24
Spread
6
P
Total
OVER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
428
414
Total Plays
63
72
Yards / Play
6.8
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.22
+0.05
Passing Yards
274
269
Comp/Att
20/27(74%)
25/42(60%)
Yards / Pass
10.1
6.4
EPA / Pass
+0.57
-0.10
Rushing Yards
154
145
Rush Attempts
34
29
Yards / Rush
4.5
5.0
EPA / Rush
+0.04
+0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
28
Passing 1st downs
10
18
Rushing 1st downs
10
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
40%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
11
Red Zone %
80%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
4
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.87
-13.26
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-12
-8
Sack EPA
-0.92
-1.90
Penalties
5
2
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market69.8%
Model64.8%
Spread Pick
Panthers+6.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-62
Home nfelo
1,491
Away nfelo
1,580
Home Field
+89.0
Base HFA
+47.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.5
Time Adj
+25.4
Net QB Adjustment
-62.1
Home QB Adjustment
-65.7
Away QB Adjustment
-3.7
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-105.8
Model Spread
+4.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-3.7
K. Allen
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-65.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
31
Yards / Game
6
24
Passing Yards / Game
10
26
Rushing Yards / Game
6
30
EPA
EPA / Play
9
25
EPA / Pass
7
17
EPA / Rush
19
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
1
Interceptions / Game
1
10
Fumbles / Game
31
20
Turnover EPA / Game
20
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
21
4th Down Efficiency
10
31
RZ Efficiency
7
29
Panthers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
19
Yards / Game
21
23
Passing Yards / Game
7
7
Rushing Yards / Game
14
22
EPA
EPA / Play
29
19
EPA / Pass
28
18
EPA / Rush
20
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
9
Interceptions / Game
30
9
Fumbles / Game
29
4
Turnover EPA / Game
3
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
18
4th Down Efficiency
12
20
RZ Efficiency
15
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Panthers
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U