SEASeahawks
2-3
20
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
49°F
6 mph
23
PITSteelers
2-3
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
49°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Seahawks
0
0
14
6
0
20
Steelers
0
14
3
3
3
23
Spread
+5.5
Total
PUSH
43
P
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
309
345
Total Plays
64
71
Yards / Play
4.8
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.04
Passing Yards
165
226
Comp/Att
23/32(72%)
29/40(73%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
5.7
EPA / Pass
-0.25
-0.03
Rushing Yards
144
119
Rush Attempts
27
30
Yards / Rush
5.3
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.19
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
22
Passing 1st downs
9
14
Rushing 1st downs
8
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
25%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.82
-5.54
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-44
-3
Sack EPA
-11.54
-5.54
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
45
38
Penalty EPA
-3.95
-6.15
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model60.0%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+5.5
Expected Value
+16.1%
Cover Probability
60.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+21
Home nfelo
1,507
Away nfelo
1,574
Home Field
+33.7
Base HFA
+41.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.5
Time Adj
-22.3
Net QB Adjustment
+53.5
Home QB Adjustment
-9.2
Away QB Adjustment
-62.7
Market Regression
-4.4
Final Difference
70.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
-62.7
B. Roethlisberger
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-9.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
22
Yards / Game
20
27
Passing Yards / Game
24
14
Rushing Yards / Game
10
32
EPA
EPA / Play
13
14
EPA / Pass
17
18
EPA / Rush
6
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
17
Interceptions / Game
2
16
Fumbles / Game
5
6
Turnover EPA / Game
31
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
12
4th Down Efficiency
32
17
RZ Efficiency
3
11
Steelers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
12
Yards / Game
23
28
Passing Yards / Game
14
32
Rushing Yards / Game
30
17
EPA
EPA / Play
24
17
EPA / Pass
26
24
EPA / Rush
19
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
7
Interceptions / Game
6
22
Fumbles / Game
17
18
Turnover EPA / Game
23
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
15
4th Down Efficiency
20
3
RZ Efficiency
21
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
Steelers
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U