TENTitans
-
43
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
71°F
10 mph
13
CLEBrowns
-
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
71°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
3
7
10
15
35
Browns
6
0
7
0
13
Spread
+5.5
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
339
346
Total Plays
56
63
Yards / Play
6.1
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.20
-0.42
Passing Yards
216
244
Comp/Att
14/24(58%)
25/38(66%)
Yards / Pass
9.0
6.4
EPA / Pass
+0.26
-0.47
Rushing Yards
123
102
Rush Attempts
28
20
Yards / Rush
4.4
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
19
Passing 1st downs
9
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
6
2
3rd Down %
20%
10%
3rd Down Conversions
2
1
3rd Down Attempts
10
10
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-17.60
Sacks
4
5
Sack Yards
-32
-41
Sack EPA
-5.90
-6.98
Penalties
6
18
Penalty Yards
54
182
Penalty EPA
-5.57
-18.97
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model64.2%
Spread Pick
Titans+5.5
Expected Value
+0.8%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+54
Home nfelo
1,479
Away nfelo
1,502
Home Field
+68.3
Base HFA
+57.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.4
Net QB Adjustment
+8.6
Home QB Adjustment
+7.7
Away QB Adjustment
-1.0
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
101.4
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
M. Mariota
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-1.0
B. Mayfield
Proj. Value
+3.0
Team Elo Adj
+7.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Titans Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
20
Yards / Game
15
21
Passing Yards / Game
28
10
Rushing Yards / Game
3
29
EPA
EPA / Play
6
20
EPA / Pass
8
15
EPA / Rush
4
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
17
Interceptions / Game
6
10
Fumbles / Game
3
25
Turnover EPA / Game
27
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
12
4th Down Efficiency
28
4
RZ Efficiency
1
20
Browns Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
11
Yards / Game
18
22
Passing Yards / Game
14
30
Rushing Yards / Game
12
13
EPA
EPA / Play
22
13
EPA / Pass
20
16
EPA / Rush
17
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
5
Interceptions / Game
30
7
Fumbles / Game
2
11
Turnover EPA / Game
7
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
16
4th Down Efficiency
23
5
RZ Efficiency
13
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Titans
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Browns
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
4-5-1
O/U