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BAL logo

Baltimore Ravens

2020 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
12-6
nfelo Rating
17023rd
Point Diff / Game
+8.82nd
Net EPA / Play
+0.1711st

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CLE logo
CLE
W
38-06
+32
-7
W
16
2
HOU logo
HOU@
W
33-16
+17
-7.5
W
-0
3
KC logo
KC
L
20-34
-14
-3.5
L
-18
4
WAS logo
WAS@
W
31-17
+14
-14
P
5
5
CIN logo
CIN
W
27-03
+24
-12.5
W
16
6
PHI logo
PHI@
W
30-28
+2
-10
L
-4
7BYE WEEK
8
PIT logo
PIT
L
24-28
-4
-4
L
-15
9
IND logo
IND@
W
24-10
+14
-1
W
9
10
NE logo
NE@
L
17-23
-6
-7
L
-7
11
TEN logo
TEN
L
24-30
-6
-6
L
-123
12
PIT logo
PIT@
L
14-19
-5
+10.5
W
108
13
DAL logo
DAL
W
34-17
+17
-9
W
8
14
CLE logo
CLE@
W
47-42
+5
-3
W
11
15
JAX logo
JAX
W
40-14
+26
-12.5
W
23
16
NYG logo
NYG
W
27-13
+14
-9.5
W
5
17
CIN logo
CIN@
W
38-03
+35
-13.5
W
11
18
TEN logo
TEN@
W
20-13
+7
-3.5
W
1
19
BUF logo
BUF@
L
03-17
-14
+2.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.09
7th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
19th
EPA / Rush
+0.12
1st
Def. EPA / Play
-0.08
4th
EPA / Pass
-0.04
7th
EPA / Rush
-0.12
4th
Sack EPA
-3.04
8th
Turnover EPA
-4.67
25th
Point Differential
+8.8
2nd
Points For
27.3
9th
Points Against
18.5
1st
Total Yards
364.2
19th
Passing Yards
149.2
30th
Rushing Yards
192.2
1st
Total Yards Allowed
317.4
6th
Passing Allowed
144.7
1st
Rushing Allowed
101.4
6th

Conversions For

3rd Down
49%
2nd
4th Down
57%
16th
Red Zone
58%
17th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
34%
2nd
4th Down
47%
10th
Red Zone
61%
15th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
11th
Created
1.2
20th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
14th
Created
0.6
27th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
16th
Created
0.6
8th