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  4. 2022
LAC logo

Los Angeles Chargers

2022 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-8
nfelo Rating
15248th
Point Diff / Game
+0.311th
Net EPA / Play
+0.00312th

2022 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
OAK logo
OAK
W
24-19
+5
-3.5
W
7
2
KC logo
KC@
L
24-27
-3
+4
W
9
3
JAX logo
JAX
L
10-38
-28
-7
L
-43
4
HOU logo
HOU@
W
34-24
+10
-5.5
W
20
5
CLE logo
CLE@
W
30-28
+2
-1.5
W
6
6
DEN logo
DEN
W
19-16
+3
-4
L
-12
7
SEA logo
SEA
L
23-37
-14
-4.5
L
-26
8BYE WEEK
9
ATL logo
ATL@
W
20-17
+3
-2.5
W
-2
10
SF logo
SF@
L
16-22
-6
+8
W
-9
11
KC logo
KC
L
27-30
-3
+5
W
-4
12
ARI logo
ARI@
W
25-24
+1
-2.5
L
10
13
OAK logo
OAK@
L
20-27
-7
+2.5
L
-14
14
MIA logo
MIA
W
23-17
+6
+3
W
11
15
TEN logo
TEN
W
17-14
+3
-3
P
-8
16
IND logo
IND@
W
20-03
+17
-3.5
W
19
17
LAR logo
LAR
W
31-10
+21
-6.5
W
33
18
DEN logo
DEN@
L
28-31
-3
+6.5
W
-23
19
JAX logo
JAX@
L
30-31
-1
-2
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.02
18th
EPA / Pass
+0.02
12th
EPA / Rush
-0.03
17th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.02
14th
EPA / Pass
-0.06
9th
EPA / Rush
+0.07
30th
Sack EPA
-4.07
17th
Turnover EPA
-4.18
29th
Point Differential
+0.3
11th
Points For
23.4
12th
Points Against
23.1
23rd
Total Yards
357.3
8th
Passing Yards
226.6
5th
Rushing Yards
88.4
30th
Total Yards Allowed
348.8
20th
Passing Allowed
163.2
7th
Rushing Allowed
144.3
27th

Conversions For

3rd Down
44%
8th
4th Down
52%
15th
Red Zone
55%
18th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
11th
4th Down
44%
9th
Red Zone
55%
12th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
12th
Created
1.4
12th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
6th
Created
1.0
5th

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
27th
Created
0.4
27th