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  4. 2024
OAK logo

Las Vegas Raiders

2024 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
4-13
nfelo Rating
140126th
Point Diff / Game
-7.427th
Net EPA / Play
-0.13827th

2024 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
LAC logo
LAC@
L
10-22
-12
+3
L
-18
2
BAL logo
BAL@
W
26-23
+3
+8.5
W
18
3
CAR logo
CAR
L
22-36
-14
-5.5
L
-13
4
CLE logo
CLE
W
20-16
+4
+2
W
-3
5
DEN logo
DEN@
L
18-34
-16
+3
L
-26
6
PIT logo
PIT
L
13-32
-19
+3.5
L
-15
7
LAR logo
LAR@
L
15-20
-5
+7
W
-4
8
KC logo
KC
L
20-27
-7
+8.5
W
7
9
CIN logo
CIN@
L
24-41
-17
+8
L
-13
10BYE WEEK
11
MIA logo
MIA@
L
19-34
-15
+7.5
L
-5
12
DEN logo
DEN
L
19-29
-10
+5.5
L
-25
13
KC logo
KC@
L
17-19
-2
+13.5
W
17
14
TB logo
TB@
L
13-28
-15
+6.5
L
3
15
ATL logo
ATL
L
09-15
-6
+6
P
-65
16
JAX logo
JAX
W
19-14
+5
-2.5
W
12
17
NO logo
NO@
W
25-10
+15
-1.5
W
47
18
LAC logo
LAC
L
20-34
-14
+7
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.14
31st
EPA / Pass
-0.10
24th
EPA / Rush
-0.24
32nd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.00
12th
EPA / Pass
+0.07
26th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
10th
Sack EPA
-6.07
27th
Turnover EPA
-8.39
3rd
Point Differential
-7.4
27th
Points For
18.2
29th
Points Against
25.5
25th
Total Yards
303.4
27th
Passing Yards
210.2
9th
Rushing Yards
79.9
32nd
Total Yards Allowed
331.8
12th
Passing Allowed
216.4
27th
Rushing Allowed
115.4
12th

Conversions For

3rd Down
35%
30th
4th Down
56%
16th
Red Zone
49%
26th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
17th
4th Down
77%
31st
Red Zone
60%
22nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.7
29th
Created
0.8
30th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
26th
Created
0.6
22nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
29th
Created
0.2
31st