LACChargers
0-1
24
TBD
Nissan Stadium
70°F
027
TENTitans
0-1
TBD
Nissan Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Chargers
3
11
0
10
0
24
Titans
0
10
7
7
3
27
Spread
+2.5
Total
OVER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
344
341
Total Plays
66
63
Yards / Play
5.2
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.06
+0.08
Passing Yards
283
200
Comp/Att
27/42(64%)
20/24(83%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
8.3
EPA / Pass
+0.25
+0.06
Rushing Yards
61
141
Rush Attempts
21
34
Yards / Rush
2.9
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
22
Passing 1st downs
14
9
Rushing 1st downs
4
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
14%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
40%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
5
Sack Yards
-24
-46
Sack EPA
-6.03
-11.72
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
43
45
Penalty EPA
-8.25
-10.61
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-22
Home nfelo
1,467
Away nfelo
1,542
Home Field
+58.4
Base HFA
+43.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+15.4
Net QB Adjustment
-5.0
Home QB Adjustment
-6.1
Away QB Adjustment
-1.1
Market Regression
+22.1
Final Difference
-46.1
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
J. Herbert
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-1.1
R. Tannehill
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-6.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
15
Yards / Game
18
17
Passing Yards / Game
17
19
Rushing Yards / Game
24
14
EPA
EPA / Play
22
28
EPA / Pass
18
30
EPA / Rush
31
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
4
Interceptions / Game
3
32
Fumbles / Game
27
13
Turnover EPA / Game
16
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
18
4th Down Efficiency
23
26
RZ Efficiency
13
1
Titans Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
23
Yards / Game
28
28
Passing Yards / Game
18
21
Rushing Yards / Game
18
16
EPA
EPA / Play
16
20
EPA / Pass
21
24
EPA / Rush
13
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
12
Interceptions / Game
10
25
Fumbles / Game
6
8
Turnover EPA / Game
29
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
15
4th Down Efficiency
11
28
RZ Efficiency
28
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Titans
2-8
SU
4-4-2
ATS
3-7
O/U